The Ledger · Season 2026 · append-only · every row sealed before the gun
Append-only · no edits, ever
The permanent receipt
A row is written before the event with the price taken, the book, the stake and both probabilities at that moment. A correction is a new row, never an edit, so our mistakes stay on the page next to their fixes. Nothing published ever leaves this page.
- Rows sealed
- 661 the whole log, drafts and all
- Wagers
- 31 rows that carried money
- Graded
- 31 settled on final scores
- Standing
- 0 sealed, not yet graded
- No Plays
- 48 published, never staked
- Corrections
- 10 appended, never edited · 582 superseded drafts kept
Row by row, newest card first
The whole append-only ledger, superseded revisions and all. A card we replaced before the gun stays here forever, next to its replacement.
EventAllEvent 540Event 528Event 527Event 554Event 557Event 60Event 28Event 27Wyndham ChampionshipRocket ClassicStateAllStandingGradedNo PlaySuperseded
Tommy Fleetwood over Cameron YoungEvent 27 · Weekly Board · Tournament matchup, 72 holes5:45 AM ET, Aug 13-105BetMGM56.7%vs53.5%0u−4.9 pts·No Play
- Pick ID
- NAB-E7141E44
- Sealed
- 5:45 AM ET, Aug 13 · revision 5, the card that stood
- Sealed numbers
- ours 56.7% · market 53.5% · edge +3.3 pts
- Close
- drift −4.9 pts away from our side
- Retail shelf
- -105 at BetMGM
- Grade
- graded won, unstaked; it counts toward calibration, never the record.
Eric Cole over Alex NorenEvent 27 · Weekly Board · Round 1 matchup5:45 AM ET, Aug 13+105BetMGM52.1%vs48.2%0u−2.2 pts·No Play
- Pick ID
- NAB-BD434146
- Sealed
- 5:45 AM ET, Aug 13 · revision 5, the card that stood
- Sealed numbers
- ours 52.1% · market 48.2% · edge +3.9 pts
- Close
- drift −2.2 pts away from our side
- Retail shelf
- +105 at BetMGM
- Grade
- graded lost, unstaked; it counts toward calibration, never the record.
Pierceson Coody over Sam StevensEvent 27 · Weekly Board · Round 1 matchup5:45 AM ET, Aug 13+105Caesars54.6%vs47.2%0u−1.2 pts·No Play
- Pick ID
- NAB-204074F0
- Sealed
- 5:45 AM ET, Aug 13 · revision 5, the card that stood
- Sealed numbers
- ours 54.6% · market 47.2% · edge +7.4 pts
- Close
- drift −1.2 pts away from our side
- Retail shelf
- +105 at Caesars
- Grade
- graded lost, unstaked; it counts toward calibration, never the record.
Sudarshan Yellamaraju over Sungjae ImEvent 27 · Weekly Board · Round 1 matchup5:45 AM ET, Aug 13+135BetMGM51.6%vs41.5%0u−1.0 pts·No Play
- Pick ID
- NAB-D39B2F8A
- Sealed
- 5:45 AM ET, Aug 13 · revision 5, the card that stood
- Sealed numbers
- ours 51.6% · market 41.5% · edge +10.1 pts
- Close
- drift −1.0 pts away from our side
- Retail shelf
- +135 at BetMGM
- Grade
- graded lost, unstaked; it counts toward calibration, never the record.
Tommy Fleetwood over Xander SchauffeleEvent 27 · Weekly Board · Tournament matchup, 72 holes5:45 AM ET, Aug 13+100FanDuel58.7%vs49.0%0u−1.2 pts·No Play
- Pick ID
- NAB-B98ECF1B
- Sealed
- 5:45 AM ET, Aug 13 · revision 5, the card that stood
- Sealed numbers
- ours 58.7% · market 49.0% · edge +9.7 pts
- Close
- drift −1.2 pts away from our side
- Retail shelf
- +100 at FanDuel
- Grade
- graded void, unstaked; it counts toward calibration, never the record.
What each state meanspush, dead heat, void, correction, No Play and pass, defined once
- Standing
- sealed before the gun; the market has not graded it yet.
- Won / Lost
- settled on the final scores, exactly as the market settles.
- Dead heat
- a tie under the market’s rules; the settlement splits accordingly.
- Push
- the market returned the stake; no units move.
- Void
- the market voided the play, a withdrawal being the usual reason; the stake returns.
- No Play
- published and graded for calibration, never staked; it carries no money and never joins the record.
- Pass
- a side we priced and declined to publish. A pass counts in our own accounting; the nearest misses appear on the watch list, never here as wagers.
- Correction
- a fact restated after the seal, as a new appended row naming its author, its time and its reason. The original stands forever.
- Superseded
- a pre-gun draft replaced by a later revision. It stays on the log next to its replacement.
Tournament and season results live in the track record; this is the receipt behind them, row by row, forever.