The Ledger · Season 2026 · append-only · every row sealed before the gun
Append-only · no edits, ever
The permanent receipt
A row is written before the event with the price taken, the book, the stake and both probabilities at that moment. A correction is a new row, never an edit, so our mistakes stay on the page next to their fixes. Nothing published ever leaves this page.
- Rows sealed
- 661 the whole log, drafts and all
- Wagers
- 31 rows that carried money
- Graded
- 31 settled on final scores
- Standing
- 0 sealed, not yet graded
- No Plays
- 48 published, never staked
- Corrections
- 10 appended, never edited · 582 superseded drafts kept
Row by row, newest card first
Every row of every card that stood, the No Plays included. A No Play is graded for calibration but was never a wager.
EventAllEvent 540Event 528Event 527Event 554Event 557Event 60Event 28Event 27Wyndham ChampionshipRocket ClassicStateAllStandingGradedNo PlaySuperseded
Emiliano Grillo over Justin LowerEvent 528 · Weekly Board · Tournament matchup, 72 holes8:45 PM ET, Oct 21-125FanDuel66.0%vs53.0%0u··No Play
- Pick ID
- NAB-6B410129
- Sealed
- 8:45 PM ET, Oct 21 · revision 14, the card that stood
- Sealed numbers
- ours 66.0% · market 53.0% · edge +13.0 pts
- Close
- pending; drift posts when the market closes
- Retail shelf
- -125 at FanDuel
- Grade
- graded won, unstaked; it counts toward calibration, never the record.
Seamus Power over Chris KirkEvent 528 · Weekly Board · Round 1 matchup8:45 PM ET, Oct 21+100FanDuel53.5%vs48.3%0u+0.8 pts·No Play
- Pick ID
- NAB-69187A95
- Sealed
- 8:45 PM ET, Oct 21 · revision 14, the card that stood
- Sealed numbers
- ours 53.5% · market 48.3% · edge +5.2 pts
- Close
- drift +0.8 pts toward our side
- Retail shelf
- +100 at FanDuel
- Grade
- graded void, unstaked; it counts toward calibration, never the record.
Max Greyserman over Trace CroweEvent 528 · Weekly Board · Round 1 matchup8:45 PM ET, Oct 21+100FanDuel53.1%vs50.0%0u+0.0 pts·No Play
- Pick ID
- NAB-7D420842
- Sealed
- 8:45 PM ET, Oct 21 · revision 14, the card that stood
- Sealed numbers
- ours 53.1% · market 50.0% · edge +3.1 pts
- Close
- drift +0.0 pts toward our side
- Retail shelf
- +100 at FanDuel
- Grade
- graded void, unstaked; it counts toward calibration, never the record.
A.J. Ewart over Andrew NovakEvent 528 · Weekly Board · Round 1 matchup8:45 PM ET, Oct 21+110FanDuel55.2%vs45.1%0u+0.0 pts·No Play
- Pick ID
- NAB-87D48C33
- Sealed
- 8:45 PM ET, Oct 21 · revision 14, the card that stood
- Sealed numbers
- ours 55.2% · market 45.1% · edge +10.1 pts
- Close
- drift +0.0 pts toward our side
- Retail shelf
- +110 at FanDuel
- Grade
- graded void, unstaked; it counts toward calibration, never the record.
Seamus Power over Andrew NovakEvent 528 · Weekly Board · Tournament matchup, 72 holes8:45 PM ET, Oct 21+105BetMGM58.6%vs46.3%0u··No Play
- Pick ID
- NAB-E92D6265
- Sealed
- 8:45 PM ET, Oct 21 · revision 14, the card that stood
- Sealed numbers
- ours 58.6% · market 46.3% · edge +12.3 pts
- Close
- pending; drift posts when the market closes
- Retail shelf
- +105 at BetMGM
What each state meanspush, dead heat, void, correction, No Play and pass, defined once
- Standing
- sealed before the gun; the market has not graded it yet.
- Won / Lost
- settled on the final scores, exactly as the market settles.
- Dead heat
- a tie under the market’s rules; the settlement splits accordingly.
- Push
- the market returned the stake; no units move.
- Void
- the market voided the play, a withdrawal being the usual reason; the stake returns.
- No Play
- published and graded for calibration, never staked; it carries no money and never joins the record.
- Pass
- a side we priced and declined to publish. A pass counts in our own accounting; the nearest misses appear on the watch list, never here as wagers.
- Correction
- a fact restated after the seal, as a new appended row naming its author, its time and its reason. The original stands forever.
- Superseded
- a pre-gun draft replaced by a later revision. It stays on the log next to its replacement.
Tournament and season results live in the track record; this is the receipt behind them, row by row, forever.