Max Homa over Shane Lowry

• The raw disagreement is +5.5 pts: our 46.7% against the market’s 41.2% with the juice removed
• The edge survives the blend into the market: 0.0% expected value a unit at +150
• It cleared the stake floor at tier C, 1u

A measured disagreement, sized to the doubt.

daily card r2 revision 1, rank 1 of 112 round-scoped sides; sealed at fanduel, the best major book (major books only, 2026-08-02); consensus of 6 books

The read as sealed, written before the gun and never edited after.

• The market holds the other side at 58.8%; we are the disagreement, not the consensus
• Break-even at +150 is 40.0%; our cushion past it is +6.7 pts
• One round of golf settles it; eighteen holes of variance can erase an edge this size without the number being wrong

Edges this size lose often. The record, not any one pick, is the product.