Pontus Nyholm over Rasmus Hojgaard

• The raw disagreement is +1.9 pts: our 46.8% against the market’s 44.9% with the juice removed
• The edge survives the blend into the market: 0.3% expected value a unit at +132
• It cleared the stake floor at tier C, 1u

A measured disagreement, sized to the doubt.

daily card r4 revision 1, rank 3 of 98 round-scoped sides; sealed at draftkings, the best major book (major books only, 2026-08-02); consensus of 3 books

The read as sealed, written before the gun and never edited after.

• The market holds the other side at 55.1%; we are the disagreement, not the consensus
• Break-even at +132 is 43.1%; our cushion past it is +3.7 pts
• One round of golf settles it; eighteen holes of variance can erase an edge this size without the number being wrong

Edges this size lose often. The record, not any one pick, is the product.