Doug Ghim over Harris English
Tournament matchup, 72 holes · Wyndham Championship
+100 · FanDuel
Sealed · 11:45 PM ET, Aug 3
Superseded revisionWon · settled and graded on the ledger · see it on the Ledger
Our probability49.9%
Market probability47.4%
The sealed disagreement
Difference+2.5 ptsModel edge at the seal
The exact sealed values| Our probability | 49.9% |
| Market probability | 47.4% |
| Difference | +2.5 pts |
- The raw disagreement is +2.5 pts: our 49.9% against the market’s 47.4% with the juice removed
- The edge survives the blend into the market: -5.9% expected value a unit at +100
- It did not clear the stake floor after doubt: published as a No Play, graded, never staked
Published and graded, never staked.
revision 3, rank 5 of 738 priced sides this week; sealed at fanduel, the best major book (major books only, 2026-08-02); consensus of 1 books
The read as sealed, written before the gun and never edited after.
Technical provenance
forecast 046882b9-8d2d-4a63-89f4-e18fd2e8816f; draw 861966b6-ae33-4d59-bf20-83e9342701b0
- The market holds the other side at 52.6%; we are the disagreement, not the consensus
- Break-even at +100 is 50.0%; our cushion past it is −0.1 pts
- It settles over the full tournament; a missed cut ends it early and variance runs all four days
Edges this size lose often. The record, not any one pick, is the product.
Account