Need A Birdie

The Ledger · Season 2026 · append-only · every row sealed before the gun

Append-only · no edits, ever

The permanent receipt

A row is written before the event with the price taken, the book, the stake and both probabilities at that moment. A correction is a new row, never an edit, so our mistakes stay on the page next to their fixes. Nothing published ever leaves this page.

Rows sealed
345
the whole log, drafts and all
Wagers
29
rows that carried money
Graded
29
settled on final scores
Standing
0
sealed, not yet graded
No Plays
28
published, never staked
Corrections
10
appended, never edited · 288 superseded drafts kept

Row by row, newest card first

The whole append-only ledger, superseded revisions and all. A card we replaced before the gun stays here forever, next to its replacement.

Sudarshan Yellamaraju over Sungjae ImEvent 27 · Weekly Board · Round 1 matchup8:45 PM ET, Aug 12+135BetMGM51.6%41.5%0u··Superseded
Pick ID
NAB-2309DF2B
Sealed
8:45 PM ET, Aug 12 · revision 4, superseded by revision 5
Sealed numbers
ours 51.6% · market 41.5% · edge +10.1 pts
Close
pending; drift posts when the market closes
Retail shelf
+135 at BetMGM
Grade
graded void, unstaked; it counts toward calibration, never the record.
Replaced by
revision 5, sealed 5:45 AM ET, Aug 13 · the standing row →

The full instrument and verification view →

Tommy Fleetwood over Cameron YoungEvent 27 · Weekly Board · Tournament matchup, 72 holes8:45 PM ET, Aug 12-105BetMGM57.3%53.2%0u··Superseded
Pick ID
NAB-02F1DCE3
Sealed
8:45 PM ET, Aug 12 · revision 4, superseded by revision 5
Sealed numbers
ours 57.3% · market 53.2% · edge +4.1 pts
Close
pending; drift posts when the market closes
Retail shelf
-105 at BetMGM
Replaced by
revision 5, sealed 5:45 AM ET, Aug 13 · the standing row →

The full instrument and verification view →

Eric Cole over Alex NorenEvent 27 · Weekly Board · Round 1 matchup8:45 PM ET, Aug 12+105BetMGM52.1%48.2%0u··Superseded
Pick ID
NAB-0489DFBC
Sealed
8:45 PM ET, Aug 12 · revision 4, superseded by revision 5
Sealed numbers
ours 52.1% · market 48.2% · edge +3.9 pts
Close
pending; drift posts when the market closes
Retail shelf
+105 at BetMGM
Grade
graded won, unstaked; it counts toward calibration, never the record.
Replaced by
revision 5, sealed 5:45 AM ET, Aug 13 · the standing row →

The full instrument and verification view →

Pierceson Coody over Sam StevensEvent 27 · Weekly Board · Round 1 matchup8:45 PM ET, Aug 12+105Caesars54.6%47.2%0u··Superseded
Pick ID
NAB-537A5A60
Sealed
8:45 PM ET, Aug 12 · revision 4, superseded by revision 5
Sealed numbers
ours 54.6% · market 47.2% · edge +7.4 pts
Close
pending; drift posts when the market closes
Retail shelf
+105 at Caesars
Grade
graded lost, unstaked; it counts toward calibration, never the record.
Replaced by
revision 5, sealed 5:45 AM ET, Aug 13 · the standing row →

The full instrument and verification view →

Tommy Fleetwood over Xander SchauffeleEvent 27 · Weekly Board · Tournament matchup, 72 holes8:45 PM ET, Aug 12+100FanDuel59.5%48.0%0u··Superseded
Pick ID
NAB-38D1BC11
Sealed
8:45 PM ET, Aug 12 · revision 4, superseded by revision 5
Sealed numbers
ours 59.5% · market 48.0% · edge +11.5 pts
Close
pending; drift posts when the market closes
Retail shelf
+100 at FanDuel
Replaced by
revision 5, sealed 5:45 AM ET, Aug 13 · the standing row →

The full instrument and verification view →

Sudarshan Yellamaraju over Sungjae ImEvent 27 · Weekly Board · Round 1 matchup8:00 PM ET, Aug 12+135BetMGM51.6%41.4%0u··Superseded
Pick ID
NAB-032C888E
Sealed
8:00 PM ET, Aug 12 · revision 3, superseded by revision 5
Sealed numbers
ours 51.6% · market 41.4% · edge +10.2 pts
Close
pending; drift posts when the market closes
Retail shelf
+135 at BetMGM
Grade
graded void, unstaked; it counts toward calibration, never the record.
Replaced by
revision 5, sealed 5:45 AM ET, Aug 13 · the standing row →

The full instrument and verification view →

Tommy Fleetwood over Cameron YoungEvent 27 · Weekly Board · Tournament matchup, 72 holes8:00 PM ET, Aug 12-105BetMGM57.3%53.2%0u··Superseded
Pick ID
NAB-94F3B5EA
Sealed
8:00 PM ET, Aug 12 · revision 3, superseded by revision 5
Sealed numbers
ours 57.3% · market 53.2% · edge +4.1 pts
Close
pending; drift posts when the market closes
Retail shelf
-105 at BetMGM
Replaced by
revision 5, sealed 5:45 AM ET, Aug 13 · the standing row →

The full instrument and verification view →

Pierceson Coody over Sam StevensEvent 27 · Weekly Board · Round 1 matchup8:00 PM ET, Aug 12+105Caesars54.6%47.4%0u··Superseded
Pick ID
NAB-F0C0A566
Sealed
8:00 PM ET, Aug 12 · revision 3, superseded by revision 5
Sealed numbers
ours 54.6% · market 47.4% · edge +7.2 pts
Close
pending; drift posts when the market closes
Retail shelf
+105 at Caesars
Grade
graded lost, unstaked; it counts toward calibration, never the record.
Replaced by
revision 5, sealed 5:45 AM ET, Aug 13 · the standing row →

The full instrument and verification view →

Eric Cole over Alex NorenEvent 27 · Weekly Board · Round 1 matchup8:00 PM ET, Aug 12+105BetMGM52.1%48.1%0u··Superseded
Pick ID
NAB-D14543CF
Sealed
8:00 PM ET, Aug 12 · revision 3, superseded by revision 5
Sealed numbers
ours 52.1% · market 48.1% · edge +4.0 pts
Close
pending; drift posts when the market closes
Retail shelf
+105 at BetMGM
Grade
graded won, unstaked; it counts toward calibration, never the record.
Replaced by
revision 5, sealed 5:45 AM ET, Aug 13 · the standing row →

The full instrument and verification view →

Tommy Fleetwood over Jordan SpiethEvent 27 · Weekly Board · Round 1 matchup8:00 PM ET, Aug 12-163FanDuel68.2%60.6%0u··Superseded
Pick ID
NAB-6BD0D0D5
Sealed
8:00 PM ET, Aug 12 · revision 3, superseded by revision 5
Sealed numbers
ours 68.2% · market 60.6% · edge +7.6 pts
Close
pending; drift posts when the market closes
Retail shelf
-163 at FanDuel
Grade
graded void, unstaked; it counts toward calibration, never the record.

The full instrument and verification view →

Sudarshan Yellamaraju over Sungjae ImEvent 27 · Weekly Board · Round 1 matchup6:00 PM ET, Aug 12+135BetMGM51.6%41.4%0u··Superseded
Pick ID
NAB-FC3274FF
Sealed
6:00 PM ET, Aug 12 · revision 2, superseded by revision 5
Sealed numbers
ours 51.6% · market 41.4% · edge +10.2 pts
Close
pending; drift posts when the market closes
Retail shelf
+135 at BetMGM
Grade
graded void, unstaked; it counts toward calibration, never the record.
Replaced by
revision 5, sealed 5:45 AM ET, Aug 13 · the standing row →

The full instrument and verification view →

Tommy Fleetwood over Cameron YoungEvent 27 · Weekly Board · Tournament matchup, 72 holes6:00 PM ET, Aug 12-105BetMGM57.2%53.2%0u··Superseded
Pick ID
NAB-32AFCD34
Sealed
6:00 PM ET, Aug 12 · revision 2, superseded by revision 5
Sealed numbers
ours 57.2% · market 53.2% · edge +4.0 pts
Close
pending; drift posts when the market closes
Retail shelf
-105 at BetMGM
Replaced by
revision 5, sealed 5:45 AM ET, Aug 13 · the standing row →

The full instrument and verification view →

Pierceson Coody over Sam StevensEvent 27 · Weekly Board · Round 1 matchup6:00 PM ET, Aug 12+105Caesars54.6%47.4%0u··Superseded
Pick ID
NAB-A064425E
Sealed
6:00 PM ET, Aug 12 · revision 2, superseded by revision 5
Sealed numbers
ours 54.6% · market 47.4% · edge +7.2 pts
Close
pending; drift posts when the market closes
Retail shelf
+105 at Caesars
Grade
graded lost, unstaked; it counts toward calibration, never the record.
Replaced by
revision 5, sealed 5:45 AM ET, Aug 13 · the standing row →

The full instrument and verification view →

Eric Cole over Alex NorenEvent 27 · Weekly Board · Round 1 matchup6:00 PM ET, Aug 12+105BetMGM52.1%48.1%0u··Superseded
Pick ID
NAB-6033E5F5
Sealed
6:00 PM ET, Aug 12 · revision 2, superseded by revision 5
Sealed numbers
ours 52.1% · market 48.1% · edge +4.0 pts
Close
pending; drift posts when the market closes
Retail shelf
+105 at BetMGM
Grade
graded won, unstaked; it counts toward calibration, never the record.
Replaced by
revision 5, sealed 5:45 AM ET, Aug 13 · the standing row →

The full instrument and verification view →

Tommy Fleetwood over Jordan SpiethEvent 27 · Weekly Board · Round 1 matchup6:00 PM ET, Aug 12-163FanDuel68.2%60.6%0u··Superseded
Pick ID
NAB-F4373C06
Sealed
6:00 PM ET, Aug 12 · revision 2, superseded by revision 5
Sealed numbers
ours 68.2% · market 60.6% · edge +7.6 pts
Close
pending; drift posts when the market closes
Retail shelf
-163 at FanDuel
Grade
graded void, unstaked; it counts toward calibration, never the record.

The full instrument and verification view →

Sudarshan Yellamaraju over Sungjae ImEvent 27 · Weekly Board · Round 1 matchup3:21 PM ET, Aug 12+135BetMGM51.6%41.4%0u··Superseded
Pick ID
NAB-4BC4395C
Sealed
3:21 PM ET, Aug 12 · revision 1, superseded by revision 5
Sealed numbers
ours 51.6% · market 41.4% · edge +10.2 pts
Close
pending; drift posts when the market closes
Retail shelf
+135 at BetMGM
Grade
graded void, unstaked; it counts toward calibration, never the record.
Replaced by
revision 5, sealed 5:45 AM ET, Aug 13 · the standing row →

The full instrument and verification view →

Jackson Koivun over Tom KimEvent 27 · Weekly Board · Tournament matchup, 72 holes3:21 PM ET, Aug 12-111FanDuel61.1%53.7%0u··Superseded
Pick ID
NAB-A9C55CF0
Sealed
3:21 PM ET, Aug 12 · revision 1, superseded by revision 5
Sealed numbers
ours 61.1% · market 53.7% · edge +7.5 pts
Close
pending; drift posts when the market closes
Retail shelf
-111 at FanDuel

The full instrument and verification view →

Tommy Fleetwood over Cameron YoungEvent 27 · Weekly Board · Tournament matchup, 72 holes3:21 PM ET, Aug 12-105BetMGM57.2%53.2%0u··Superseded
Pick ID
NAB-B948A09C
Sealed
3:21 PM ET, Aug 12 · revision 1, superseded by revision 5
Sealed numbers
ours 57.2% · market 53.2% · edge +4.0 pts
Close
pending; drift posts when the market closes
Retail shelf
-105 at BetMGM
Replaced by
revision 5, sealed 5:45 AM ET, Aug 13 · the standing row →

The full instrument and verification view →

Pierceson Coody over Sam StevensEvent 27 · Weekly Board · Round 1 matchup3:21 PM ET, Aug 12+105Caesars54.6%47.4%0u··Superseded
Pick ID
NAB-DAEAA264
Sealed
3:21 PM ET, Aug 12 · revision 1, superseded by revision 5
Sealed numbers
ours 54.6% · market 47.4% · edge +7.2 pts
Close
pending; drift posts when the market closes
Retail shelf
+105 at Caesars
Grade
graded lost, unstaked; it counts toward calibration, never the record.
Replaced by
revision 5, sealed 5:45 AM ET, Aug 13 · the standing row →

The full instrument and verification view →

Eric Cole over Alex NorenEvent 27 · Weekly Board · Round 1 matchup3:21 PM ET, Aug 12+105BetMGM52.1%48.1%0u··Superseded
Pick ID
NAB-D7822D1E
Sealed
3:21 PM ET, Aug 12 · revision 1, superseded by revision 5
Sealed numbers
ours 52.1% · market 48.1% · edge +4.0 pts
Close
pending; drift posts when the market closes
Retail shelf
+105 at BetMGM
Grade
graded won, unstaked; it counts toward calibration, never the record.
Replaced by
revision 5, sealed 5:45 AM ET, Aug 13 · the standing row →

The full instrument and verification view →

Rows only ever get added, so this page can only get longer. The log holds 345 sealed rows; 29 carried money.
What each state meanspush, dead heat, void, correction, No Play and pass, defined once
Standing
sealed before the gun; the market has not graded it yet.
Won / Lost
settled on the final scores, exactly as the market settles.
Dead heat
a tie under the market’s rules; the settlement splits accordingly.
Push
the market returned the stake; no units move.
Void
the market voided the play, a withdrawal being the usual reason; the stake returns.
No Play
published and graded for calibration, never staked; it carries no money and never joins the record.
Pass
a side we priced and declined to publish. A pass counts in our own accounting; the nearest misses appear on the watch list, never here as wagers.
Correction
a fact restated after the seal, as a new appended row naming its author, its time and its reason. The original stands forever.
Superseded
a pre-gun draft replaced by a later revision. It stays on the log next to its replacement.

Tournament and season results live in the track record; this is the receipt behind them, row by row, forever.