The Ledger · Season 2026 · append-only · every row sealed before the gun
Append-only · no edits, ever
The permanent receipt
A row is written before the event with the price taken, the book, the stake and both probabilities at that moment. A correction is a new row, never an edit, so our mistakes stay on the page next to their fixes. Nothing published ever leaves this page.
- Rows sealed
- 661 the whole log, drafts and all
- Wagers
- 31 rows that carried money
- Graded
- 31 settled on final scores
- Standing
- 0 sealed, not yet graded
- No Plays
- 48 published, never staked
- Corrections
- 10 appended, never edited · 582 superseded drafts kept
Row by row, newest card first
Every row of every card that stood, the No Plays included. A No Play is graded for calibration but was never a wager.
EventAllEvent 540Event 528Event 527Event 554Event 557Event 60Event 28Event 27Wyndham ChampionshipRocket ClassicStateAllStandingGradedNo PlaySuperseded
Wyndham Clark over Xander SchauffeleEvent 527 · Weekly Board · Tournament matchup, 72 holes9:45 AM ET, Oct 7+120Caesars60.4%vs43.1%0u−0.0 pts·No Play
- Pick ID
- NAB-77133523
- Sealed
- 9:45 AM ET, Oct 7 · revision 8, the card that stood
- Sealed numbers
- ours 60.4% · market 43.1% · edge +17.3 pts
- Close
- drift −0.0 pts away from our side
- Retail shelf
- +120 at Caesars
- Grade
- graded lost, unstaked; it counts toward calibration, never the record.
Rickie Fowler over Alex SmalleyEvent 527 · Weekly Board · Tournament matchup, 72 holes9:45 AM ET, Oct 7+100BetMGM54.2%vs49.8%0u−2.4 pts·No Play
- Pick ID
- NAB-2E00714A
- Sealed
- 9:45 AM ET, Oct 7 · revision 8, the card that stood
- Sealed numbers
- ours 54.2% · market 49.8% · edge +4.4 pts
- Close
- drift −2.4 pts away from our side
- Retail shelf
- +100 at BetMGM
- Grade
- graded lost, unstaked; it counts toward calibration, never the record.
Rickie Fowler over Sungjae ImEvent 527 · Weekly Board · Tournament matchup, 72 holes9:45 AM ET, Oct 7+100FanDuel59.9%vs47.4%0u+0.0 pts·No Play
- Pick ID
- NAB-EF10D1DD
- Sealed
- 9:45 AM ET, Oct 7 · revision 8, the card that stood
- Sealed numbers
- ours 59.9% · market 47.4% · edge +12.5 pts
- Close
- drift +0.0 pts toward our side
- Retail shelf
- +100 at FanDuel
- Grade
- graded lost, unstaked; it counts toward calibration, never the record.
Keith Mitchell over Jordan SpiethEvent 527 · Weekly Board · Round 1 matchup9:45 AM ET, Oct 7-110DraftKings57.0%vs50.1%0u+0.0 pts·No Play
- Pick ID
- NAB-26ACDDFA
- Sealed
- 9:45 AM ET, Oct 7 · revision 8, the card that stood
- Sealed numbers
- ours 57.0% · market 50.1% · edge +6.9 pts
- Close
- drift +0.0 pts toward our side
- Retail shelf
- -110 at DraftKings
- Grade
- graded won, unstaked; it counts toward calibration, never the record.
Michael Kim over Kevin YuEvent 527 · Weekly Board · Tournament matchup, 72 holes9:45 AM ET, Oct 7+120Caesars44.3%vs46.8%0u−2.7 pts·No Play
- Pick ID
- NAB-97222B5C
- Sealed
- 9:45 AM ET, Oct 7 · revision 8, the card that stood
- Sealed numbers
- ours 44.3% · market 46.8% · edge −2.4 pts
- Close
- drift −2.7 pts away from our side
- Retail shelf
- +120 at Caesars
- Grade
- graded won, unstaked; it counts toward calibration, never the record.
What each state meanspush, dead heat, void, correction, No Play and pass, defined once
- Standing
- sealed before the gun; the market has not graded it yet.
- Won / Lost
- settled on the final scores, exactly as the market settles.
- Dead heat
- a tie under the market’s rules; the settlement splits accordingly.
- Push
- the market returned the stake; no units move.
- Void
- the market voided the play, a withdrawal being the usual reason; the stake returns.
- No Play
- published and graded for calibration, never staked; it carries no money and never joins the record.
- Pass
- a side we priced and declined to publish. A pass counts in our own accounting; the nearest misses appear on the watch list, never here as wagers.
- Correction
- a fact restated after the seal, as a new appended row naming its author, its time and its reason. The original stands forever.
- Superseded
- a pre-gun draft replaced by a later revision. It stays on the log next to its replacement.
Tournament and season results live in the track record; this is the receipt behind them, row by row, forever.