Need A Birdie

The Ledger · Season 2026 · append-only · every row sealed before the gun

Append-only · no edits, ever

The permanent receipt

A row is written before the event with the price taken, the book, the stake and both probabilities at that moment. A correction is a new row, never an edit, so our mistakes stay on the page next to their fixes. Nothing published ever leaves this page.

Rows sealed
345
the whole log, drafts and all
Wagers
29
rows that carried money
Graded
29
settled on final scores
Standing
0
sealed, not yet graded
No Plays
28
published, never staked
Corrections
10
appended, never edited · 288 superseded drafts kept

Row by row, newest card first

The whole append-only ledger, superseded revisions and all. A card we replaced before the gun stays here forever, next to its replacement.

Blades Brown over Beau HosslerEvent 557 · Weekly Board · Tournament matchup, 72 holes5:45 AM ET, Sep 15-111FanDuel57.8%50.0%0u··No Play
Pick ID
NAB-19F45A4B
Sealed
5:45 AM ET, Sep 15 · revision 4, the card that stood
Sealed numbers
ours 57.8% · market 50.0% · edge +7.8 pts
Close
pending; drift posts when the market closes
Retail shelf
-111 at FanDuel

The full instrument and verification view →

Jackson Suber over Ryo HisatsuneEvent 557 · Weekly Board · Tournament matchup, 72 holes5:45 AM ET, Sep 15+110FanDuel52.7%45.5%0u··No Play
Pick ID
NAB-6F9E351C
Sealed
5:45 AM ET, Sep 15 · revision 4, the card that stood
Sealed numbers
ours 52.7% · market 45.5% · edge +7.2 pts
Close
pending; drift posts when the market closes
Retail shelf
+110 at FanDuel

The full instrument and verification view →

Kevin Yu over Keita NakajimaEvent 557 · Weekly Board · Tournament matchup, 72 holes5:45 AM ET, Sep 15-111FanDuel54.6%50.5%0u··No Play
Pick ID
NAB-4DE701CD
Sealed
5:45 AM ET, Sep 15 · revision 4, the card that stood
Sealed numbers
ours 54.6% · market 50.5% · edge +4.1 pts
Close
pending; drift posts when the market closes
Retail shelf
-111 at FanDuel

The full instrument and verification view →

Ben James over Rasmus HojgaardEvent 557 · Weekly Board · Tournament matchup, 72 holes5:45 AM ET, Sep 15-125FanDuel57.4%53.4%0u··No Play
Pick ID
NAB-99A27515
Sealed
5:45 AM ET, Sep 15 · revision 4, the card that stood
Sealed numbers
ours 57.4% · market 53.4% · edge +4.0 pts
Close
pending; drift posts when the market closes
Retail shelf
-125 at FanDuel

The full instrument and verification view →

Eric Cole over Marco PengeEvent 557 · Weekly Board · Tournament matchup, 72 holes5:45 AM ET, Sep 15-120FanDuel59.6%51.5%0u··No Play
Pick ID
NAB-1C4EA3C3
Sealed
5:45 AM ET, Sep 15 · revision 4, the card that stood
Sealed numbers
ours 59.6% · market 51.5% · edge +8.1 pts
Close
pending; drift posts when the market closes
Retail shelf
-120 at FanDuel

The full instrument and verification view →

Rows only ever get added, so this page can only get longer. The log holds 345 sealed rows; 29 carried money.
What each state meanspush, dead heat, void, correction, No Play and pass, defined once
Standing
sealed before the gun; the market has not graded it yet.
Won / Lost
settled on the final scores, exactly as the market settles.
Dead heat
a tie under the market’s rules; the settlement splits accordingly.
Push
the market returned the stake; no units move.
Void
the market voided the play, a withdrawal being the usual reason; the stake returns.
No Play
published and graded for calibration, never staked; it carries no money and never joins the record.
Pass
a side we priced and declined to publish. A pass counts in our own accounting; the nearest misses appear on the watch list, never here as wagers.
Correction
a fact restated after the seal, as a new appended row naming its author, its time and its reason. The original stands forever.
Superseded
a pre-gun draft replaced by a later revision. It stays on the log next to its replacement.

Tournament and season results live in the track record; this is the receipt behind them, row by row, forever.