The Ledger · Season 2026 · append-only · every row sealed before the gun
Append-only · no edits, ever
The permanent receipt
A row is written before the event with the price taken, the book, the stake and both probabilities at that moment. A correction is a new row, never an edit, so our mistakes stay on the page next to their fixes. Nothing published ever leaves this page.
- Rows sealed
- 661 the whole log, drafts and all
- Wagers
- 31 rows that carried money
- Graded
- 31 settled on final scores
- Standing
- 0 sealed, not yet graded
- No Plays
- 48 published, never staked
- Corrections
- 10 appended, never edited · 582 superseded drafts kept
Row by row, newest card first
Every row of every card that stood, the No Plays included. A No Play is graded for calibration but was never a wager.
EventAllEvent 540Event 528Event 527Event 554Event 557Event 60Event 28Event 27Wyndham ChampionshipRocket ClassicStateAllStandingGradedNo PlaySuperseded
Keita Nakajima over Rasmus HojgaardEvent 557 · Weekly Board · Round 1 matchup5:45 AM ET, Sep 17+100FanDuel51.6%vs48.8%0u−1.4 pts·No Play
- Pick ID
- NAB-69271013
- Sealed
- 5:45 AM ET, Sep 17 · revision 15, the card that stood
- Sealed numbers
- ours 51.6% · market 48.8% · edge +2.7 pts
- Close
- drift −1.4 pts away from our side
- Retail shelf
- +100 at FanDuel
- Grade
- graded won, unstaked; it counts toward calibration, never the record.
Eric Cole over Marco PengeEvent 557 · Weekly Board · Tournament matchup, 72 holes5:45 AM ET, Sep 17-111FanDuel60.7%vs50.0%0u+0.0 pts·No Play
- Pick ID
- NAB-55D161A0
- Sealed
- 5:45 AM ET, Sep 17 · revision 15, the card that stood
- Sealed numbers
- ours 60.7% · market 50.0% · edge +10.7 pts
- Close
- drift +0.0 pts toward our side
- Retail shelf
- -111 at FanDuel
- Grade
- graded lost, unstaked; it counts toward calibration, never the record.
Brendan Valdes in a 3-ballEvent 557 · Weekly Board · Round 1 3-ball v Haotong Li, Marco Penge5:45 AM ET, Sep 17+350BetMGM33.2%vs20.2%0u−0.7 pts·No Play
- Pick ID
- NAB-16B88D28
- Sealed
- 5:45 AM ET, Sep 17 · revision 15, the card that stood
- Sealed numbers
- ours 33.2% · market 20.2% · edge +13.1 pts
- Close
- drift −0.7 pts away from our side
- Retail shelf
- +350 at BetMGM
- Grade
- graded lost, unstaked; it counts toward calibration, never the record.
Jonathan Byrd in a 3-ballEvent 557 · Weekly Board · Round 1 3-ball v Austin Eckroat, Jackson Suber5:45 AM ET, Sep 17+360FanDuel32.2%vs20.3%0u−0.5 pts·No Play
- Pick ID
- NAB-940D5331
- Sealed
- 5:45 AM ET, Sep 17 · revision 15, the card that stood
- Sealed numbers
- ours 32.2% · market 20.3% · edge +11.9 pts
- Close
- drift −0.5 pts away from our side
- Retail shelf
- +360 at FanDuel
- Grade
- graded lost, unstaked; it counts toward calibration, never the record.
Jackson Koivun over Jacob BridgemanEvent 557 · Weekly Board · Tournament matchup, 72 holes5:45 AM ET, Sep 17-125BetMGM63.2%vs54.2%0u−1.5 pts·No Play
- Pick ID
- NAB-9017BEAB
- Sealed
- 5:45 AM ET, Sep 17 · revision 15, the card that stood
- Sealed numbers
- ours 63.2% · market 54.2% · edge +9.0 pts
- Close
- drift −1.5 pts away from our side
- Retail shelf
- -125 at BetMGM
- Grade
- graded lost, unstaked; it counts toward calibration, never the record.
What each state meanspush, dead heat, void, correction, No Play and pass, defined once
- Standing
- sealed before the gun; the market has not graded it yet.
- Won / Lost
- settled on the final scores, exactly as the market settles.
- Dead heat
- a tie under the market’s rules; the settlement splits accordingly.
- Push
- the market returned the stake; no units move.
- Void
- the market voided the play, a withdrawal being the usual reason; the stake returns.
- No Play
- published and graded for calibration, never staked; it carries no money and never joins the record.
- Pass
- a side we priced and declined to publish. A pass counts in our own accounting; the nearest misses appear on the watch list, never here as wagers.
- Correction
- a fact restated after the seal, as a new appended row naming its author, its time and its reason. The original stands forever.
- Superseded
- a pre-gun draft replaced by a later revision. It stays on the log next to its replacement.
Tournament and season results live in the track record; this is the receipt behind them, row by row, forever.