Need A Birdie

The Ledger · Season 2026 · append-only · every row sealed before the gun

Append-only · no edits, ever

The permanent receipt

A row is written before the event with the price taken, the book, the stake and both probabilities at that moment. A correction is a new row, never an edit, so our mistakes stay on the page next to their fixes. Nothing published ever leaves this page.

Rows sealed
345
the whole log, drafts and all
Wagers
29
rows that carried money
Graded
29
settled on final scores
Standing
0
sealed, not yet graded
No Plays
28
published, never staked
Corrections
10
appended, never edited · 288 superseded drafts kept

Row by row, newest card first

The whole append-only ledger, superseded revisions and all. A card we replaced before the gun stays here forever, next to its replacement.

Jackson Koivun over Cameron YoungWyndham Championship · Weekly Board · Tournament matchup, 72 holes5:46 AM ET, Aug 6+140BetMGM49.1%42.0%0u−2.5 pts·No Play
Pick ID
NAB-17B2119D
Sealed
5:46 AM ET, Aug 6 · revision 15, the card that stood
Sealed numbers
ours 49.1% · market 42.0% · edge +7.1 pts
Close
drift −2.5 pts away from our side
Retail shelf
+140 at BetMGM
Grade
graded won, unstaked; it counts toward calibration, never the record.

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Jackson Koivun over Ryan GerardWyndham Championship · Weekly Board · Tournament matchup, 72 holes5:46 AM ET, Aug 6-125FanDuel62.2%53.4%0u−0.7 pts·No Play
Pick ID
NAB-7DC9E0B7
Sealed
5:46 AM ET, Aug 6 · revision 15, the card that stood
Sealed numbers
ours 62.2% · market 53.4% · edge +8.9 pts
Close
drift −0.7 pts away from our side
Retail shelf
-125 at FanDuel
Grade
graded won, unstaked; it counts toward calibration, never the record.

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Maverick McNealy over Alex FitzpatrickWyndham Championship · Weekly Board · Tournament matchup, 72 holes5:46 AM ET, Aug 6+110FanDuel50.8%48.0%0u−0.6 pts·No Play
Pick ID
NAB-45EF6A4D
Sealed
5:46 AM ET, Aug 6 · revision 15, the card that stood
Sealed numbers
ours 50.8% · market 48.0% · edge +2.8 pts
Close
drift −0.6 pts away from our side
Retail shelf
+110 at FanDuel
Grade
graded won, unstaked; it counts toward calibration, never the record.

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Mac Meissner over Sungjae ImWyndham Championship · Weekly Board · Tournament matchup, 72 holes5:46 AM ET, Aug 6-110DraftKings62.6%49.0%0u+0.0 pts·No Play
Pick ID
NAB-EAB0D6E2
Sealed
5:46 AM ET, Aug 6 · revision 15, the card that stood
Sealed numbers
ours 62.6% · market 49.0% · edge +13.6 pts
Close
drift +0.0 pts toward our side
Retail shelf
-110 at DraftKings
Grade
graded lost, unstaked; it counts toward calibration, never the record.

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Davis Thompson over Justin ThomasWyndham Championship · Weekly Board · Round 1 matchup5:46 AM ET, Aug 6+100FanDuel51.7%47.4%0u−0.0 pts·No Play
Pick ID
NAB-5567787D
Sealed
5:46 AM ET, Aug 6 · revision 15, the card that stood
Sealed numbers
ours 51.7% · market 47.4% · edge +4.4 pts
Close
drift −0.0 pts away from our side
Retail shelf
+100 at FanDuel
Grade
graded won, unstaked; it counts toward calibration, never the record.

The full instrument and verification view →

Rows only ever get added, so this page can only get longer. The log holds 345 sealed rows; 29 carried money.
What each state meanspush, dead heat, void, correction, No Play and pass, defined once
Standing
sealed before the gun; the market has not graded it yet.
Won / Lost
settled on the final scores, exactly as the market settles.
Dead heat
a tie under the market’s rules; the settlement splits accordingly.
Push
the market returned the stake; no units move.
Void
the market voided the play, a withdrawal being the usual reason; the stake returns.
No Play
published and graded for calibration, never staked; it carries no money and never joins the record.
Pass
a side we priced and declined to publish. A pass counts in our own accounting; the nearest misses appear on the watch list, never here as wagers.
Correction
a fact restated after the seal, as a new appended row naming its author, its time and its reason. The original stands forever.
Superseded
a pre-gun draft replaced by a later revision. It stays on the log next to its replacement.

Tournament and season results live in the track record; this is the receipt behind them, row by row, forever.