The Ledger · Season 2026 · append-only · every row sealed before the gun
Append-only · no edits, ever
The permanent receipt
A row is written before the event with the price taken, the book, the stake and both probabilities at that moment. A correction is a new row, never an edit, so our mistakes stay on the page next to their fixes. Nothing published ever leaves this page.
- Rows sealed
- 661 the whole log, drafts and all
- Wagers
- 31 rows that carried money
- Graded
- 31 settled on final scores
- Standing
- 0 sealed, not yet graded
- No Plays
- 48 published, never staked
- Corrections
- 10 appended, never edited · 582 superseded drafts kept
Row by row, newest card first
The wagers. Rows that stood on a card and carried real money. This is the track record and nothing else counts toward it.
EventAllEvent 540Event 528Event 527Event 554Event 557Event 60Event 28Event 27Wyndham ChampionshipRocket ClassicStateAllStandingGradedNo PlaySuperseded
Robert MacIntyre over Scottie SchefflerEvent 28 · Daily Card · R3 · Round 3 matchup10:31 PM ET, Aug 21+250DraftKings38.9%vs27.9%2.0u−0.6 pts+0.00uVoid
- Pick ID
- NAB-F29C1DA3
- Sealed
- 10:31 PM ET, Aug 21 · revision 1, the card that stood
- Sealed numbers
- ours 38.9% · market 27.9% · edge +11.0 pts
- Close
- drift −0.6 pts away from our side
- Retail shelf
- +250 at DraftKings
Matt McCarty over Matt FitzpatrickEvent 28 · Daily Card · R3 · Round 3 matchup10:31 PM ET, Aug 21+200Caesars37.9%vs34.0%1.0u+1.4 pts−1.00uLost
- Pick ID
- NAB-8A7F21BB
- Sealed
- 10:31 PM ET, Aug 21 · revision 1, the card that stood
- Sealed numbers
- ours 37.9% · market 34.0% · edge +3.9 pts
- Close
- drift +1.4 pts toward our side
- Retail shelf
- +200 at Caesars
Matt Fitzpatrick over Scottie SchefflerEvent 28 · Weekly Board · Round 1 matchup5:45 AM ET, Aug 20+180DraftKings43.0%vs35.0%1.0u−1.0 pts+1.80uWon
- Pick ID
- NAB-3AB22807
- Sealed
- 5:45 AM ET, Aug 20 · revision 18, the card that stood
- Sealed numbers
- ours 43.0% · market 35.0% · edge +8.0 pts
- Close
- drift −1.0 pts away from our side
- Retail shelf
- +180 at DraftKings
Rory McIlroy over Scottie SchefflerEvent 28 · Weekly Board · Tournament matchup, 72 holes5:45 AM ET, Aug 20+250FanDuel40.1%vs28.4%1.0u−1.6 pts+2.50uWon
- Pick ID
- NAB-23ABC32D
- Sealed
- 5:45 AM ET, Aug 20 · revision 18, the card that stood
- Sealed numbers
- ours 40.1% · market 28.4% · edge +11.6 pts
- Close
- drift −1.6 pts away from our side
- Retail shelf
- +250 at FanDuel
Matt Fitzpatrick over Scottie SchefflerEvent 28 · Daily Card · R1 · Round 1 matchup11:46 PM ET, Aug 18+188FanDuel43.0%vs34.0%1.5u+0.4 pts+2.82uWon
- Pick ID
- NAB-BD0DDAD6
- Sealed
- 11:46 PM ET, Aug 18 · revision 3, the card that stood
- Sealed numbers
- ours 43.0% · market 34.0% · edge +9.0 pts
- Close
- drift +0.4 pts toward our side
- Retail shelf
- +188 at FanDuel
What each state meanspush, dead heat, void, correction, No Play and pass, defined once
- Standing
- sealed before the gun; the market has not graded it yet.
- Won / Lost
- settled on the final scores, exactly as the market settles.
- Dead heat
- a tie under the market’s rules; the settlement splits accordingly.
- Push
- the market returned the stake; no units move.
- Void
- the market voided the play, a withdrawal being the usual reason; the stake returns.
- No Play
- published and graded for calibration, never staked; it carries no money and never joins the record.
- Pass
- a side we priced and declined to publish. A pass counts in our own accounting; the nearest misses appear on the watch list, never here as wagers.
- Correction
- a fact restated after the seal, as a new appended row naming its author, its time and its reason. The original stands forever.
- Superseded
- a pre-gun draft replaced by a later revision. It stays on the log next to its replacement.
Tournament and season results live in the track record; this is the receipt behind them, row by row, forever.