The Ledger · Season 2026 · append-only · every row sealed before the gun

Append-only · no edits, ever

The permanent receipt

A row is written before the event with the price taken, the book, the stake and both probabilities at that moment. A correction is a new row, never an edit, so our mistakes stay on the page next to their fixes. Nothing published ever leaves this page.

Rows sealed: 661
Wagers: 31
Graded: 31
Standing: 0
No Plays: 48
Corrections: 10

Row by row, newest card first

The whole append-only ledger, superseded revisions and all. A card we replaced before the gun stays here forever, next to its replacement.

EventAll Event 540 Event 528 Event 527 Event 554 Event 557 Event 60 Event 28 Event 27 Wyndham Championship Rocket ClassicStateAll Standing Graded No Play Superseded

Wyndham Clark over Xander SchauffeleEvent 527 · Weekly Board · Tournament matchup, 72 holes9:45 AM ET, Oct 7+120Caesars60.4%43.1%0u−0.0 pts·No Play

Pick ID: NAB-77133523
Sealed: 9:45 AM ET, Oct 7 · revision 8, the card that stood
Sealed numbers: ours 60.4% · market 43.1% · edge +17.3 pts
Close: drift −0.0 pts away from our side
Retail shelf: +120 at Caesars
Grade: graded lost, unstaked; it counts toward calibration, never the record.

The full instrument and verification view →

Rickie Fowler over Alex SmalleyEvent 527 · Weekly Board · Tournament matchup, 72 holes9:45 AM ET, Oct 7+100BetMGM54.2%49.8%0u−2.4 pts·No Play

Pick ID: NAB-2E00714A
Sealed: 9:45 AM ET, Oct 7 · revision 8, the card that stood
Sealed numbers: ours 54.2% · market 49.8% · edge +4.4 pts
Close: drift −2.4 pts away from our side
Retail shelf: +100 at BetMGM
Grade: graded lost, unstaked; it counts toward calibration, never the record.

The full instrument and verification view →

Rickie Fowler over Sungjae ImEvent 527 · Weekly Board · Tournament matchup, 72 holes9:45 AM ET, Oct 7+100FanDuel59.9%47.4%0u+0.0 pts·No Play

Pick ID: NAB-EF10D1DD
Sealed: 9:45 AM ET, Oct 7 · revision 8, the card that stood
Sealed numbers: ours 59.9% · market 47.4% · edge +12.5 pts
Close: drift +0.0 pts toward our side
Retail shelf: +100 at FanDuel
Grade: graded lost, unstaked; it counts toward calibration, never the record.

The full instrument and verification view →

Keith Mitchell over Jordan SpiethEvent 527 · Weekly Board · Round 1 matchup9:45 AM ET, Oct 7-110DraftKings57.0%50.1%0u+0.0 pts·No Play

Pick ID: NAB-26ACDDFA
Sealed: 9:45 AM ET, Oct 7 · revision 8, the card that stood
Sealed numbers: ours 57.0% · market 50.1% · edge +6.9 pts
Close: drift +0.0 pts toward our side
Retail shelf: -110 at DraftKings
Grade: graded won, unstaked; it counts toward calibration, never the record.

The full instrument and verification view →

Michael Kim over Kevin YuEvent 527 · Weekly Board · Tournament matchup, 72 holes9:45 AM ET, Oct 7+120Caesars44.3%46.8%0u−2.7 pts·No Play

Pick ID: NAB-97222B5C
Sealed: 9:45 AM ET, Oct 7 · revision 8, the card that stood
Sealed numbers: ours 44.3% · market 46.8% · edge −2.4 pts
Close: drift −2.7 pts away from our side
Retail shelf: +120 at Caesars
Grade: graded won, unstaked; it counts toward calibration, never the record.

The full instrument and verification view →

Max Greyserman over Matt WallaceEvent 527 · Weekly Board · Tournament matchup, 72 holes5:45 AM ET, Oct 7+120Caesars52.5%43.1%0u··Superseded

Pick ID: NAB-8F1ACDDF
Sealed: 5:45 AM ET, Oct 7 · revision 7, superseded by revision 8
Sealed numbers: ours 52.5% · market 43.1% · edge +9.4 pts
Close: pending; drift posts when the market closes
Retail shelf: +120 at Caesars

The full instrument and verification view →

Wyndham Clark over Xander SchauffeleEvent 527 · Weekly Board · Tournament matchup, 72 holes5:45 AM ET, Oct 7+122DraftKings59.6%42.9%0u··Superseded

Pick ID: NAB-B8AB6C1F
Sealed: 5:45 AM ET, Oct 7 · revision 7, superseded by revision 8
Sealed numbers: ours 59.6% · market 42.9% · edge +16.7 pts
Close: pending; drift posts when the market closes
Retail shelf: +122 at DraftKings
Replaced by: revision 8, sealed 9:45 AM ET, Oct 7 · the standing row →

The full instrument and verification view →

Rickie Fowler over Sungjae ImEvent 527 · Weekly Board · Tournament matchup, 72 holes5:45 AM ET, Oct 7+100FanDuel59.5%47.4%0u··Superseded

Pick ID: NAB-0900F670
Sealed: 5:45 AM ET, Oct 7 · revision 7, superseded by revision 8
Sealed numbers: ours 59.5% · market 47.4% · edge +12.1 pts
Close: pending; drift posts when the market closes
Retail shelf: +100 at FanDuel
Replaced by: revision 8, sealed 9:45 AM ET, Oct 7 · the standing row →

The full instrument and verification view →

Rickie Fowler over Alex SmalleyEvent 527 · Weekly Board · Tournament matchup, 72 holes5:45 AM ET, Oct 7+100BetMGM53.8%49.8%0u··Superseded

Pick ID: NAB-1CD55C5D
Sealed: 5:45 AM ET, Oct 7 · revision 7, superseded by revision 8
Sealed numbers: ours 53.8% · market 49.8% · edge +4.0 pts
Close: pending; drift posts when the market closes
Retail shelf: +100 at BetMGM
Replaced by: revision 8, sealed 9:45 AM ET, Oct 7 · the standing row →

The full instrument and verification view →

Collin Morikawa over Hideki MatsuyamaEvent 527 · Weekly Board · Tournament matchup, 72 holes5:45 AM ET, Oct 7-111FanDuel54.8%52.2%0u··Superseded

Pick ID: NAB-4F12ABFE
Sealed: 5:45 AM ET, Oct 7 · revision 7, superseded by revision 8
Sealed numbers: ours 54.8% · market 52.2% · edge +2.6 pts
Close: pending; drift posts when the market closes
Retail shelf: -111 at FanDuel

The full instrument and verification view →

Wyndham Clark over Xander SchauffeleEvent 527 · Weekly Board · Tournament matchup, 72 holes8:45 PM ET, Oct 6+122DraftKings59.2%42.9%0u··Superseded

Pick ID: NAB-F3589CA0
Sealed: 8:45 PM ET, Oct 6 · revision 6, superseded by revision 8
Sealed numbers: ours 59.2% · market 42.9% · edge +16.3 pts
Close: pending; drift posts when the market closes
Retail shelf: +122 at DraftKings
Replaced by: revision 8, sealed 9:45 AM ET, Oct 7 · the standing row →

The full instrument and verification view →

Collin Morikawa over Hideki MatsuyamaEvent 527 · Weekly Board · Tournament matchup, 72 holes8:45 PM ET, Oct 6-111FanDuel55.3%52.2%0u··Superseded

Pick ID: NAB-8E4A273E
Sealed: 8:45 PM ET, Oct 6 · revision 6, superseded by revision 8
Sealed numbers: ours 55.3% · market 52.2% · edge +3.1 pts
Close: pending; drift posts when the market closes
Retail shelf: -111 at FanDuel

The full instrument and verification view →

Ben Kohles in a 3-ballEvent 527 · Weekly Board · Round 1 3-ball v Keith Mitchell, Michael Kim8:45 PM ET, Oct 6+200FanDuel36.3%32.7%0u··Superseded

Pick ID: NAB-11B9E426
Sealed: 8:45 PM ET, Oct 6 · revision 6, superseded by revision 8
Sealed numbers: ours 36.3% · market 32.7% · edge +3.6 pts
Close: pending; drift posts when the market closes
Retail shelf: +200 at FanDuel
Grade: graded lost, unstaked; it counts toward calibration, never the record.

The full instrument and verification view →

Keith Mitchell over Jordan SpiethEvent 527 · Weekly Board · Round 1 matchup8:45 PM ET, Oct 6-111FanDuel57.0%49.9%0u··Superseded

Pick ID: NAB-8F4FD8D2
Sealed: 8:45 PM ET, Oct 6 · revision 6, superseded by revision 8
Sealed numbers: ours 57.0% · market 49.9% · edge +7.1 pts
Close: pending; drift posts when the market closes
Retail shelf: -111 at FanDuel
Grade: graded won, unstaked; it counts toward calibration, never the record.
Replaced by: revision 8, sealed 9:45 AM ET, Oct 7 · the standing row →

The full instrument and verification view →

Rickie Fowler over Sungjae ImEvent 527 · Weekly Board · Tournament matchup, 72 holes8:45 PM ET, Oct 6+100FanDuel61.0%47.4%0u··Superseded

Pick ID: NAB-D30995A1
Sealed: 8:45 PM ET, Oct 6 · revision 6, superseded by revision 8
Sealed numbers: ours 61.0% · market 47.4% · edge +13.6 pts
Close: pending; drift posts when the market closes
Retail shelf: +100 at FanDuel
Replaced by: revision 8, sealed 9:45 AM ET, Oct 7 · the standing row →

The full instrument and verification view →

Rickie Fowler over Sungjae ImEvent 527 · Weekly Board · Tournament matchup, 72 holes8:00 PM ET, Oct 6+100FanDuel61.0%47.4%0u··Superseded

Pick ID: NAB-835BCD92
Sealed: 8:00 PM ET, Oct 6 · revision 5, superseded by revision 8
Sealed numbers: ours 61.0% · market 47.4% · edge +13.6 pts
Close: pending; drift posts when the market closes
Retail shelf: +100 at FanDuel
Replaced by: revision 8, sealed 9:45 AM ET, Oct 7 · the standing row →

The full instrument and verification view →

Keith Mitchell over Jordan SpiethEvent 527 · Weekly Board · Round 1 matchup8:00 PM ET, Oct 6-111FanDuel57.0%49.9%0u··Superseded

Pick ID: NAB-B723881D
Sealed: 8:00 PM ET, Oct 6 · revision 5, superseded by revision 8
Sealed numbers: ours 57.0% · market 49.9% · edge +7.1 pts
Close: pending; drift posts when the market closes
Retail shelf: -111 at FanDuel
Grade: graded won, unstaked; it counts toward calibration, never the record.
Replaced by: revision 8, sealed 9:45 AM ET, Oct 7 · the standing row →

The full instrument and verification view →

Collin Morikawa over Hideki MatsuyamaEvent 527 · Weekly Board · Tournament matchup, 72 holes8:00 PM ET, Oct 6-111FanDuel55.3%52.2%0u··Superseded

Pick ID: NAB-C29E62DE
Sealed: 8:00 PM ET, Oct 6 · revision 5, superseded by revision 8
Sealed numbers: ours 55.3% · market 52.2% · edge +3.1 pts
Close: pending; drift posts when the market closes
Retail shelf: -111 at FanDuel

The full instrument and verification view →

Max Greyserman over Matt WallaceEvent 527 · Weekly Board · Tournament matchup, 72 holes8:00 PM ET, Oct 6+120Caesars53.3%43.1%0u··Superseded

Pick ID: NAB-21C3D44A
Sealed: 8:00 PM ET, Oct 6 · revision 5, superseded by revision 8
Sealed numbers: ours 53.3% · market 43.1% · edge +10.2 pts
Close: pending; drift posts when the market closes
Retail shelf: +120 at Caesars

The full instrument and verification view →

Wyndham Clark over Xander SchauffeleEvent 527 · Weekly Board · Tournament matchup, 72 holes8:00 PM ET, Oct 6+122DraftKings59.2%42.9%0u··Superseded

Pick ID: NAB-5E5E44B6
Sealed: 8:00 PM ET, Oct 6 · revision 5, superseded by revision 8
Sealed numbers: ours 59.2% · market 42.9% · edge +16.3 pts
Close: pending; drift posts when the market closes
Retail shelf: +122 at DraftKings
Replaced by: revision 8, sealed 9:45 AM ET, Oct 7 · the standing row →

The full instrument and verification view →

Keith Mitchell over Jordan SpiethEvent 527 · Weekly Board · Round 1 matchup6:00 PM ET, Oct 6-111FanDuel57.0%49.9%0u··Superseded

Pick ID: NAB-2897708C
Sealed: 6:00 PM ET, Oct 6 · revision 4, superseded by revision 8
Sealed numbers: ours 57.0% · market 49.9% · edge +7.1 pts
Close: pending; drift posts when the market closes
Retail shelf: -111 at FanDuel
Grade: graded won, unstaked; it counts toward calibration, never the record.
Replaced by: revision 8, sealed 9:45 AM ET, Oct 7 · the standing row →

The full instrument and verification view →

Wyndham Clark over Xander SchauffeleEvent 527 · Weekly Board · Tournament matchup, 72 holes6:00 PM ET, Oct 6+122DraftKings59.1%42.9%0u··Superseded

Pick ID: NAB-EAAEDE0D
Sealed: 6:00 PM ET, Oct 6 · revision 4, superseded by revision 8
Sealed numbers: ours 59.1% · market 42.9% · edge +16.3 pts
Close: pending; drift posts when the market closes
Retail shelf: +122 at DraftKings
Replaced by: revision 8, sealed 9:45 AM ET, Oct 7 · the standing row →

The full instrument and verification view →

Rickie Fowler over Sungjae ImEvent 527 · Weekly Board · Tournament matchup, 72 holes6:00 PM ET, Oct 6+100FanDuel59.4%47.4%0u··Superseded

Pick ID: NAB-C3F51EFA
Sealed: 6:00 PM ET, Oct 6 · revision 4, superseded by revision 8
Sealed numbers: ours 59.4% · market 47.4% · edge +12.1 pts
Close: pending; drift posts when the market closes
Retail shelf: +100 at FanDuel
Replaced by: revision 8, sealed 9:45 AM ET, Oct 7 · the standing row →

The full instrument and verification view →

Collin Morikawa over Hideki MatsuyamaEvent 527 · Weekly Board · Tournament matchup, 72 holes6:00 PM ET, Oct 6-111FanDuel55.2%52.2%0u··Superseded

Pick ID: NAB-668F8758
Sealed: 6:00 PM ET, Oct 6 · revision 4, superseded by revision 8
Sealed numbers: ours 55.2% · market 52.2% · edge +3.1 pts
Close: pending; drift posts when the market closes
Retail shelf: -111 at FanDuel

The full instrument and verification view →

Keith Mitchell over Michael BrennanEvent 527 · Weekly Board · Tournament matchup, 72 holes6:00 PM ET, Oct 6+110FanDuel55.9%45.1%0u··Superseded

Pick ID: NAB-59532339
Sealed: 6:00 PM ET, Oct 6 · revision 4, superseded by revision 8
Sealed numbers: ours 55.9% · market 45.1% · edge +10.8 pts
Close: pending; drift posts when the market closes
Retail shelf: +110 at FanDuel

The full instrument and verification view →

Wyndham Clark over Xander SchauffeleEvent 527 · Weekly Board · Tournament matchup, 72 holes10:45 AM ET, Oct 6+125DraftKings59.5%42.9%0u··Superseded

Pick ID: NAB-14DCE46C
Sealed: 10:45 AM ET, Oct 6 · revision 3, superseded by revision 8
Sealed numbers: ours 59.5% · market 42.9% · edge +16.6 pts
Close: pending; drift posts when the market closes
Retail shelf: +125 at DraftKings
Replaced by: revision 8, sealed 9:45 AM ET, Oct 7 · the standing row →

The full instrument and verification view →

Keith Mitchell over Jordan SpiethEvent 527 · Weekly Board · Round 1 matchup10:45 AM ET, Oct 6-111FanDuel57.0%49.9%0u··Superseded

Pick ID: NAB-2FD99468
Sealed: 10:45 AM ET, Oct 6 · revision 3, superseded by revision 8
Sealed numbers: ours 57.0% · market 49.9% · edge +7.1 pts
Close: pending; drift posts when the market closes
Retail shelf: -111 at FanDuel
Grade: graded won, unstaked; it counts toward calibration, never the record.
Replaced by: revision 8, sealed 9:45 AM ET, Oct 7 · the standing row →

The full instrument and verification view →

Keith Mitchell over Michael BrennanEvent 527 · Weekly Board · Tournament matchup, 72 holes10:45 AM ET, Oct 6+110FanDuel55.3%45.1%0u··Superseded

Pick ID: NAB-73153AEE
Sealed: 10:45 AM ET, Oct 6 · revision 3, superseded by revision 8
Sealed numbers: ours 55.3% · market 45.1% · edge +10.3 pts
Close: pending; drift posts when the market closes
Retail shelf: +110 at FanDuel

The full instrument and verification view →

Collin Morikawa over Hideki MatsuyamaEvent 527 · Weekly Board · Tournament matchup, 72 holes10:45 AM ET, Oct 6-111FanDuel54.7%52.0%0u··Superseded

Pick ID: NAB-D3A9E9AB
Sealed: 10:45 AM ET, Oct 6 · revision 3, superseded by revision 8
Sealed numbers: ours 54.7% · market 52.0% · edge +2.7 pts
Close: pending; drift posts when the market closes
Retail shelf: -111 at FanDuel

The full instrument and verification view →

Rickie Fowler over Sungjae ImEvent 527 · Weekly Board · Tournament matchup, 72 holes10:45 AM ET, Oct 6+100FanDuel59.5%47.4%0u··Superseded

Pick ID: NAB-2E4CF4F9
Sealed: 10:45 AM ET, Oct 6 · revision 3, superseded by revision 8
Sealed numbers: ours 59.5% · market 47.4% · edge +12.2 pts
Close: pending; drift posts when the market closes
Retail shelf: +100 at FanDuel
Replaced by: revision 8, sealed 9:45 AM ET, Oct 7 · the standing row →

The full instrument and verification view →

Keith Mitchell over Michael BrennanEvent 527 · Weekly Board · Tournament matchup, 72 holes5:45 AM ET, Oct 6+110FanDuel55.2%45.1%0u··Superseded

Pick ID: NAB-0CF11D1D
Sealed: 5:45 AM ET, Oct 6 · revision 2, superseded by revision 8
Sealed numbers: ours 55.2% · market 45.1% · edge +10.1 pts
Close: pending; drift posts when the market closes
Retail shelf: +110 at FanDuel

The full instrument and verification view →

Ben Kohles over Max HomaEvent 527 · Weekly Board · Tournament matchup, 72 holes5:45 AM ET, Oct 6+110FanDuel55.4%45.1%0u··Superseded

Pick ID: NAB-F540CF8D
Sealed: 5:45 AM ET, Oct 6 · revision 2, superseded by revision 8
Sealed numbers: ours 55.4% · market 45.1% · edge +10.3 pts
Close: pending; drift posts when the market closes
Retail shelf: +110 at FanDuel

The full instrument and verification view →

Wyndham Clark over Xander SchauffeleEvent 527 · Weekly Board · Tournament matchup, 72 holes5:45 AM ET, Oct 6+124DraftKings60.9%43.1%0u··Superseded

Pick ID: NAB-655A0A92
Sealed: 5:45 AM ET, Oct 6 · revision 2, superseded by revision 8
Sealed numbers: ours 60.9% · market 43.1% · edge +17.8 pts
Close: pending; drift posts when the market closes
Retail shelf: +124 at DraftKings
Replaced by: revision 8, sealed 9:45 AM ET, Oct 7 · the standing row →

The full instrument and verification view →

Keith Mitchell over Jordan SpiethEvent 527 · Weekly Board · Round 1 matchup5:45 AM ET, Oct 6-111FanDuel57.0%50.0%0u··Superseded

Pick ID: NAB-19EDE812
Sealed: 5:45 AM ET, Oct 6 · revision 2, superseded by revision 8
Sealed numbers: ours 57.0% · market 50.0% · edge +7.0 pts
Close: pending; drift posts when the market closes
Retail shelf: -111 at FanDuel
Grade: graded won, unstaked; it counts toward calibration, never the record.
Replaced by: revision 8, sealed 9:45 AM ET, Oct 7 · the standing row →

The full instrument and verification view →

Kurt Kitayama over Sungjae ImEvent 527 · Weekly Board · Tournament matchup, 72 holes5:45 AM ET, Oct 6-118BetMGM62.3%51.2%0u··Superseded

Pick ID: NAB-15525CCE
Sealed: 5:45 AM ET, Oct 6 · revision 2, superseded by revision 8
Sealed numbers: ours 62.3% · market 51.2% · edge +11.0 pts
Close: pending; drift posts when the market closes
Retail shelf: -118 at BetMGM

The full instrument and verification view →

Wyndham Clark over Xander SchauffeleEvent 527 · Weekly Board · Tournament matchup, 72 holes6:00 PM ET, Oct 5+120FanDuel59.7%43.1%0u··Superseded

Pick ID: NAB-7AB7517E
Sealed: 6:00 PM ET, Oct 5 · revision 1, superseded by revision 8
Sealed numbers: ours 59.7% · market 43.1% · edge +16.6 pts
Close: pending; drift posts when the market closes
Retail shelf: +120 at FanDuel
Replaced by: revision 8, sealed 9:45 AM ET, Oct 7 · the standing row →

The full instrument and verification view →

Rickie Fowler over Sungjae ImEvent 527 · Weekly Board · Tournament matchup, 72 holes6:00 PM ET, Oct 5+100FanDuel62.1%47.4%0u··Superseded

Pick ID: NAB-0683099C
Sealed: 6:00 PM ET, Oct 5 · revision 1, superseded by revision 8
Sealed numbers: ours 62.1% · market 47.4% · edge +14.7 pts
Close: pending; drift posts when the market closes
Retail shelf: +100 at FanDuel
Replaced by: revision 8, sealed 9:45 AM ET, Oct 7 · the standing row →

The full instrument and verification view →

Kurt Kitayama over Sungjae ImEvent 527 · Weekly Board · Tournament matchup, 72 holes6:00 PM ET, Oct 5-118BetMGM63.7%51.2%0u··Superseded

Pick ID: NAB-EF6DC599
Sealed: 6:00 PM ET, Oct 5 · revision 1, superseded by revision 8
Sealed numbers: ours 63.7% · market 51.2% · edge +12.5 pts
Close: pending; drift posts when the market closes
Retail shelf: -118 at BetMGM

The full instrument and verification view →

Ben Kohles over Max HomaEvent 527 · Weekly Board · Tournament matchup, 72 holes6:00 PM ET, Oct 5+110FanDuel57.5%45.1%0u··Superseded

Pick ID: NAB-6B40F6CB
Sealed: 6:00 PM ET, Oct 5 · revision 1, superseded by revision 8
Sealed numbers: ours 57.5% · market 45.1% · edge +12.4 pts
Close: pending; drift posts when the market closes
Retail shelf: +110 at FanDuel

The full instrument and verification view →

Keith Mitchell over Michael BrennanEvent 527 · Weekly Board · Tournament matchup, 72 holes6:00 PM ET, Oct 5+110FanDuel55.0%45.1%0u··Superseded

Pick ID: NAB-05947FBD
Sealed: 6:00 PM ET, Oct 5 · revision 1, superseded by revision 8
Sealed numbers: ours 55.0% · market 45.1% · edge +9.9 pts
Close: pending; drift posts when the market closes
Retail shelf: +110 at FanDuel

The full instrument and verification view →

What each state meanspush, dead heat, void, correction, No Play and pass, defined once

Standing: sealed before the gun; the market has not graded it yet.
Won / Lost: settled on the final scores, exactly as the market settles.
Dead heat: a tie under the market’s rules; the settlement splits accordingly.
Push: the market returned the stake; no units move.
Void: the market voided the play, a withdrawal being the usual reason; the stake returns.
No Play: published and graded for calibration, never staked; it carries no money and never joins the record.
Pass: a side we priced and declined to publish. A pass counts in our own accounting; the nearest misses appear on the watch list, never here as wagers.
Correction: a fact restated after the seal, as a new appended row naming its author, its time and its reason. The original stands forever.
Superseded: a pre-gun draft replaced by a later revision. It stays on the log next to its replacement.

Tournament and season results live in the track record; this is the receipt behind them, row by row, forever.