The Ledger · Season 2026 · append-only · every row sealed before the gun
Append-only · no edits, ever
The permanent receipt
A row is written before the event with the price taken, the book, the stake and both probabilities at that moment. A correction is a new row, never an edit, so our mistakes stay on the page next to their fixes. Nothing published ever leaves this page.
- Rows sealed
- 345 the whole log, drafts and all
- Wagers
- 29 rows that carried money
- Graded
- 29 settled on final scores
- Standing
- 0 sealed, not yet graded
- No Plays
- 28 published, never staked
- Corrections
- 10 appended, never edited · 288 superseded drafts kept
Row by row, newest card first
The wagers. Rows that stood on a card and carried real money. This is the track record and nothing else counts toward it.
EventAllEvent 557Event 60Event 28Event 27Wyndham ChampionshipRocket ClassicStateAllStandingGradedNo PlaySuperseded
Matti Schmid over Michael BrennanEvent 27 · Daily Card · R4 · Round 4 matchup10:45 PM ET, Aug 15+150FanDuel46.5%vs41.0%1.5u+0.8 pts−1.50uLost
- Pick ID
- NAB-3646D94F
- Sealed
- 10:45 PM ET, Aug 15 · revision 1, the card that stood
- Sealed numbers
- ours 46.5% · market 41.0% · edge +5.5 pts
- Close
- drift +0.8 pts toward our side
- Retail shelf
- +150 at FanDuel
Keith Mitchell over Ludvig AbergEvent 27 · Daily Card · R4 · Round 4 matchup10:45 PM ET, Aug 15+150FanDuel46.5%vs41.0%1.0u−3.0 pts−1.00uLost
- Pick ID
- NAB-9E09F83D
- Sealed
- 10:45 PM ET, Aug 15 · revision 1, the card that stood
- Sealed numbers
- ours 46.5% · market 41.0% · edge +5.5 pts
- Close
- drift −3.0 pts away from our side
- Retail shelf
- +150 at FanDuel
Ryo Hisatsune over Xander SchauffeleEvent 27 · Daily Card · R3 · Round 3 matchup10:45 PM ET, Aug 14+175Caesars43.0%vs37.1%1.5u−2.8 pts−1.50uLost
- Pick ID
- NAB-CA311A66
- Sealed
- 10:45 PM ET, Aug 14 · revision 1, the card that stood
- Sealed numbers
- ours 43.0% · market 37.1% · edge +5.9 pts
- Close
- drift −2.8 pts away from our side
- Retail shelf
- +175 at Caesars
Max Homa over Shane LowryEvent 27 · Daily Card · R2 · Round 2 matchup10:45 PM ET, Aug 13+150FanDuel46.7%vs41.2%1.0u−2.0 pts+1.50uWon
- Pick ID
- NAB-722ADE18
- Sealed
- 10:45 PM ET, Aug 13 · revision 1, the card that stood
- Sealed numbers
- ours 46.7% · market 41.2% · edge +5.5 pts
- Close
- drift −2.0 pts away from our side
- Retail shelf
- +150 at FanDuel
What each state meanspush, dead heat, void, correction, No Play and pass, defined once
- Standing
- sealed before the gun; the market has not graded it yet.
- Won / Lost
- settled on the final scores, exactly as the market settles.
- Dead heat
- a tie under the market’s rules; the settlement splits accordingly.
- Push
- the market returned the stake; no units move.
- Void
- the market voided the play, a withdrawal being the usual reason; the stake returns.
- No Play
- published and graded for calibration, never staked; it carries no money and never joins the record.
- Pass
- a side we priced and declined to publish. A pass counts in our own accounting; the nearest misses appear on the watch list, never here as wagers.
- Correction
- a fact restated after the seal, as a new appended row naming its author, its time and its reason. The original stands forever.
- Superseded
- a pre-gun draft replaced by a later revision. It stays on the log next to its replacement.
Tournament and season results live in the track record; this is the receipt behind them, row by row, forever.