The Ledger · Season 2026 · append-only · every row sealed before the gun
Append-only · no edits, ever
The permanent receipt
A row is written before the event with the price taken, the book, the stake and both probabilities at that moment. A correction is a new row, never an edit, so our mistakes stay on the page next to their fixes. Nothing published ever leaves this page.
- Rows sealed
- 661 the whole log, drafts and all
- Wagers
- 31 rows that carried money
- Graded
- 31 settled on final scores
- Standing
- 0 sealed, not yet graded
- No Plays
- 48 published, never staked
- Corrections
- 10 appended, never edited · 582 superseded drafts kept
Row by row, newest card first
The wagers. Rows that stood on a card and carried real money. This is the track record and nothing else counts toward it.
EventAllEvent 540Event 528Event 527Event 554Event 557Event 60Event 28Event 27Wyndham ChampionshipRocket ClassicStateAllStandingGradedNo PlaySuperseded
Nicolai Hojgaard over J.J. SpaunRocket Classic · Daily Card · R4 · Round 4 matchup7:45 PM ET, Aug 1+117BetOnline60.1%vs44.3%1.5u+0.0 pts−1.50uLost
- Pick ID
- NAB-56ABD8FF
- Sealed
- 7:45 PM ET, Aug 1 · revision 1, the card that stood
- Sealed numbers
- ours 60.1% · market 44.3% · edge +15.7 pts
- Close
- drift +0.0 pts toward our side
- Retail shelf
- +117 at BetOnline
Si Woo Kim over Akshay BhatiaRocket Classic · Daily Card · R2 · Round 2 matchup11:15 PM ET, Jul 30-116bet36555.6%vs55.7%1.0uwas 0.5u−4.5 pts+0.86uWon
- Pick ID
- NAB-0C09A0CB
- Sealed
- 11:15 PM ET, Jul 30 · revision 1, the card that stood
- Sealed numbers
- ours 55.6% · market 55.7% · edge −0.1 pts
- Close
- drift −4.5 pts away from our side
- Retail shelf
- sealed before the shelf existed; no claim
- Correction
- Stake restated 0.5u to 1.0u by Mac Walsh, 11:17 AM ET, Aug 4, after this play settled: Desk standing practice is one unit minimum; a full unit was placed on this play. The sealed 0.5 was the model ask under the pre-2026-07-31 ladder. · the sealed row above is untouched
Chris Gotterup over Xander SchauffeleRocket Classic · Daily Card · R2 · Round 2 matchup11:15 PM ET, Jul 30+100bet36553.1%vs50.0%1.0uwas 0.5u−2.2 pts−1.00uLost
- Pick ID
- NAB-544F8770
- Sealed
- 11:15 PM ET, Jul 30 · revision 1, the card that stood
- Sealed numbers
- ours 53.1% · market 50.0% · edge +3.1 pts
- Close
- drift −2.2 pts away from our side
- Retail shelf
- sealed before the shelf existed; no claim
- Correction
- Stake restated 0.5u to 1.0u by Mac Walsh, 11:17 AM ET, Aug 4, after this play settled: Desk standing practice is one unit minimum; a full unit was placed on this play. The sealed 0.5 was the model ask under the pre-2026-07-31 ladder. · the sealed row above is untouched
Jesper Svensson over Johnny KeeferRocket Classic · Daily Card · R2 · Round 2 matchup11:15 PM ET, Jul 30+126BetOnline48.2%vs42.3%1.0uwas 0.5u+1.6 pts+1.26uWon
- Pick ID
- NAB-9114A69D
- Sealed
- 11:15 PM ET, Jul 30 · revision 1, the card that stood
- Sealed numbers
- ours 48.2% · market 42.3% · edge +5.9 pts
- Close
- drift +1.6 pts toward our side
- Retail shelf
- sealed before the shelf existed; no claim
- Correction
- Stake restated 0.5u to 1.0u by Mac Walsh, 11:17 AM ET, Aug 4, after this play settled: Desk standing practice is one unit minimum; a full unit was placed on this play. The sealed 0.5 was the model ask under the pre-2026-07-31 ladder. · the sealed row above is untouched
Davis Riley over Akshay BhatiaRocket Classic · Daily Card · R2 · Round 2 matchup11:15 PM ET, Jul 30+188FanDuel36.7%vs33.4%1.0uwas 0.5u−0.7 pts+1.88uWon
- Pick ID
- NAB-3916D49E
- Sealed
- 11:15 PM ET, Jul 30 · revision 1, the card that stood
- Sealed numbers
- ours 36.7% · market 33.4% · edge +3.3 pts
- Close
- drift −0.7 pts away from our side
- Retail shelf
- no major US book cleared; offshore only
- Correction
- Stake restated 0.5u to 1.0u by Mac Walsh, 11:17 AM ET, Aug 4, after this play settled: Desk standing practice is one unit minimum; a full unit was placed on this play. The sealed 0.5 was the model ask under the pre-2026-07-31 ladder. · the sealed row above is untouched
Harry Hall over Sam StevensRocket Classic · Daily Card · R2 · Round 2 matchup11:15 PM ET, Jul 30+114Betcris53.1%vs44.2%1.0uwas 0.5u+0.9 pts+1.14uWon
- Pick ID
- NAB-320EDB85
- Sealed
- 11:15 PM ET, Jul 30 · revision 1, the card that stood
- Sealed numbers
- ours 53.1% · market 44.2% · edge +8.9 pts
- Close
- drift +0.9 pts toward our side
- Retail shelf
- sealed before the shelf existed; no claim
- Correction
- Stake restated 0.5u to 1.0u by Mac Walsh, 11:17 AM ET, Aug 4, after this play settled: Desk standing practice is one unit minimum; a full unit was placed on this play. The sealed 0.5 was the model ask under the pre-2026-07-31 ladder. · the sealed row above is untouched
Zac Blair over Michael KimRocket Classic · Weekly Board · Round 1 matchup10:05 PM ET, Jul 29+108Unibet53.3%vs48.8%1.0uwas 0.5u−3.3 pts−1.00uLost
- Pick ID
- NAB-77EC1359
- Sealed
- 10:05 PM ET, Jul 29 · revision 5, the card that stood
- Sealed numbers
- ours 53.3% · market 48.8% · edge +4.5 pts
- Close
- drift −3.3 pts away from our side
- Retail shelf
- sealed before the shelf existed; no claim
- Correction
- Stake restated 0.5u to 1.0u by Mac Walsh, 11:17 AM ET, Aug 4, after this play settled: Desk standing practice is one unit minimum; a full unit was placed on this play. The sealed 0.5 was the model ask under the pre-2026-07-31 ladder. · the sealed row above is untouched
Russell Henley over Ben GriffinRocket Classic · Weekly Board · Tournament matchup, 72 holes10:05 PM ET, Jul 29-105bet36554.2%vs50.6%1.0uwas 0.5u·+0.95uWon
- Pick ID
- NAB-B3550EE9
- Sealed
- 10:05 PM ET, Jul 29 · revision 5, the card that stood
- Sealed numbers
- ours 54.2% · market 50.6% · edge +3.6 pts
- Close
- pending; drift posts when the market closes
- Retail shelf
- sealed before the shelf existed; no claim
- Correction
- Stake restated 0.5u to 1.0u by Mac Walsh, 11:17 AM ET, Aug 4, after this play settled: Desk standing practice is one unit minimum; a full unit was placed on this play. The sealed 0.5 was the model ask under the pre-2026-07-31 ladder. · the sealed row above is untouched
Jordan Spieth over Corey ConnersRocket Classic · Weekly Board · Round 1 matchup10:05 PM ET, Jul 29+105Pinnacle46.4%vs50.0%1.0uwas 0.5u−3.2 pts−1.00uLost
- Pick ID
- NAB-981C86A1
- Sealed
- 10:05 PM ET, Jul 29 · revision 5, the card that stood
- Sealed numbers
- ours 46.4% · market 50.0% · edge −3.6 pts
- Close
- drift −3.2 pts away from our side
- Retail shelf
- sealed before the shelf existed; no claim
- Correction
- Stake restated 0.5u to 1.0u by Mac Walsh, 11:17 AM ET, Aug 4, after this play settled: Desk standing practice is one unit minimum; a full unit was placed on this play. The sealed 0.5 was the model ask under the pre-2026-07-31 ladder. · the sealed row above is untouched
Zac Blair over Lucas GloverRocket Classic · Weekly Board · Tournament matchup, 72 holes10:05 PM ET, Jul 29-109Betcris62.7%vs51.0%1.0uwas 0.5u−2.2 pts+0.92uWon
- Pick ID
- NAB-AEEEE047
- Sealed
- 10:05 PM ET, Jul 29 · revision 5, the card that stood
- Sealed numbers
- ours 62.7% · market 51.0% · edge +11.7 pts
- Close
- drift −2.2 pts away from our side
- Retail shelf
- sealed before the shelf existed; no claim
- Correction
- Stake restated 0.5u to 1.0u by Mac Walsh, 11:17 AM ET, Aug 4, after this play settled: Desk standing practice is one unit minimum; a full unit was placed on this play. The sealed 0.5 was the model ask under the pre-2026-07-31 ladder. · the sealed row above is untouched
Billy Horschel over Max GreysermanRocket Classic · Weekly Board · Round 1 matchup10:05 PM ET, Jul 29+115BetOnline50.0%vs44.5%1.0uwas 0.5u+3.8 pts+0.07uDead heat
- Pick ID
- NAB-20FC9B3F
- Sealed
- 10:05 PM ET, Jul 29 · revision 5, the card that stood
- Sealed numbers
- ours 50.0% · market 44.5% · edge +5.5 pts
- Close
- drift +3.8 pts toward our side
- Retail shelf
- sealed before the shelf existed; no claim
- Correction
- Stake restated 0.5u to 1.0u by Mac Walsh, 11:17 AM ET, Aug 4, after this play settled: Desk standing practice is one unit minimum; a full unit was placed on this play. The sealed 0.5 was the model ask under the pre-2026-07-31 ladder. · the sealed row above is untouched
What each state meanspush, dead heat, void, correction, No Play and pass, defined once
- Standing
- sealed before the gun; the market has not graded it yet.
- Won / Lost
- settled on the final scores, exactly as the market settles.
- Dead heat
- a tie under the market’s rules; the settlement splits accordingly.
- Push
- the market returned the stake; no units move.
- Void
- the market voided the play, a withdrawal being the usual reason; the stake returns.
- No Play
- published and graded for calibration, never staked; it carries no money and never joins the record.
- Pass
- a side we priced and declined to publish. A pass counts in our own accounting; the nearest misses appear on the watch list, never here as wagers.
- Correction
- a fact restated after the seal, as a new appended row naming its author, its time and its reason. The original stands forever.
- Superseded
- a pre-gun draft replaced by a later revision. It stays on the log next to its replacement.
Tournament and season results live in the track record; this is the receipt behind them, row by row, forever.