The Ledger · Season 2026 · append-only · every row sealed before the gun
Append-only · no edits, ever
The permanent receipt
A row is written before the event with the price taken, the book, the stake and both probabilities at that moment. A correction is a new row, never an edit, so our mistakes stay on the page next to their fixes. Nothing published ever leaves this page.
- Rows sealed
- 345 the whole log, drafts and all
- Wagers
- 29 rows that carried money
- Graded
- 29 settled on final scores
- Standing
- 0 sealed, not yet graded
- No Plays
- 28 published, never staked
- Corrections
- 10 appended, never edited · 288 superseded drafts kept
Row by row, newest card first
The whole append-only ledger, superseded revisions and all. A card we replaced before the gun stays here forever, next to its replacement.
EventAllEvent 557Event 60Event 28Event 27Wyndham ChampionshipRocket ClassicStateAllStandingGradedNo PlaySuperseded
Matti Schmid over Michael BrennanEvent 27 · Daily Card · R4 · Round 4 matchup10:45 PM ET, Aug 15+150FanDuel46.5%vs41.0%1.5u+0.8 pts−1.50uLost
- Pick ID
- NAB-3646D94F
- Sealed
- 10:45 PM ET, Aug 15 · revision 1, the card that stood
- Sealed numbers
- ours 46.5% · market 41.0% · edge +5.5 pts
- Close
- drift +0.8 pts toward our side
- Retail shelf
- +150 at FanDuel
Keith Mitchell over Ludvig AbergEvent 27 · Daily Card · R4 · Round 4 matchup10:45 PM ET, Aug 15+150FanDuel46.5%vs41.0%1.0u−3.0 pts−1.00uLost
- Pick ID
- NAB-9E09F83D
- Sealed
- 10:45 PM ET, Aug 15 · revision 1, the card that stood
- Sealed numbers
- ours 46.5% · market 41.0% · edge +5.5 pts
- Close
- drift −3.0 pts away from our side
- Retail shelf
- +150 at FanDuel
Ryo Hisatsune over Xander SchauffeleEvent 27 · Daily Card · R3 · Round 3 matchup10:45 PM ET, Aug 14+175Caesars43.0%vs37.1%1.5u−2.8 pts−1.50uLost
- Pick ID
- NAB-CA311A66
- Sealed
- 10:45 PM ET, Aug 14 · revision 1, the card that stood
- Sealed numbers
- ours 43.0% · market 37.1% · edge +5.9 pts
- Close
- drift −2.8 pts away from our side
- Retail shelf
- +175 at Caesars
Max Homa over Shane LowryEvent 27 · Daily Card · R2 · Round 2 matchup10:45 PM ET, Aug 13+150FanDuel46.7%vs41.2%1.0u−2.0 pts+1.50uWon
- Pick ID
- NAB-722ADE18
- Sealed
- 10:45 PM ET, Aug 13 · revision 1, the card that stood
- Sealed numbers
- ours 46.7% · market 41.2% · edge +5.5 pts
- Close
- drift −2.0 pts away from our side
- Retail shelf
- +150 at FanDuel
Sudarshan Yellamaraju over Sungjae ImEvent 27 · Weekly Board · Round 1 matchup5:45 AM ET, Aug 13+135BetMGM51.6%vs41.5%0u−1.0 pts·No Play
- Pick ID
- NAB-D39B2F8A
- Sealed
- 5:45 AM ET, Aug 13 · revision 5, the card that stood
- Sealed numbers
- ours 51.6% · market 41.5% · edge +10.1 pts
- Close
- drift −1.0 pts away from our side
- Retail shelf
- +135 at BetMGM
- Grade
- graded lost, unstaked; it counts toward calibration, never the record.
Tommy Fleetwood over Cameron YoungEvent 27 · Weekly Board · Tournament matchup, 72 holes5:45 AM ET, Aug 13-105BetMGM56.7%vs53.5%0u−4.9 pts·No Play
- Pick ID
- NAB-E7141E44
- Sealed
- 5:45 AM ET, Aug 13 · revision 5, the card that stood
- Sealed numbers
- ours 56.7% · market 53.5% · edge +3.3 pts
- Close
- drift −4.9 pts away from our side
- Retail shelf
- -105 at BetMGM
- Grade
- graded won, unstaked; it counts toward calibration, never the record.
Tommy Fleetwood over Xander SchauffeleEvent 27 · Weekly Board · Tournament matchup, 72 holes5:45 AM ET, Aug 13+100FanDuel58.7%vs49.0%0u−1.2 pts·No Play
- Pick ID
- NAB-B98ECF1B
- Sealed
- 5:45 AM ET, Aug 13 · revision 5, the card that stood
- Sealed numbers
- ours 58.7% · market 49.0% · edge +9.7 pts
- Close
- drift −1.2 pts away from our side
- Retail shelf
- +100 at FanDuel
- Grade
- graded void, unstaked; it counts toward calibration, never the record.
Eric Cole over Alex NorenEvent 27 · Weekly Board · Round 1 matchup5:45 AM ET, Aug 13+105BetMGM52.1%vs48.2%0u−2.2 pts·No Play
- Pick ID
- NAB-BD434146
- Sealed
- 5:45 AM ET, Aug 13 · revision 5, the card that stood
- Sealed numbers
- ours 52.1% · market 48.2% · edge +3.9 pts
- Close
- drift −2.2 pts away from our side
- Retail shelf
- +105 at BetMGM
- Grade
- graded lost, unstaked; it counts toward calibration, never the record.
Pierceson Coody over Sam StevensEvent 27 · Weekly Board · Round 1 matchup5:45 AM ET, Aug 13+105Caesars54.6%vs47.2%0u−1.2 pts·No Play
- Pick ID
- NAB-204074F0
- Sealed
- 5:45 AM ET, Aug 13 · revision 5, the card that stood
- Sealed numbers
- ours 54.6% · market 47.2% · edge +7.4 pts
- Close
- drift −1.2 pts away from our side
- Retail shelf
- +105 at Caesars
- Grade
- graded lost, unstaked; it counts toward calibration, never the record.
Sudarshan Yellamaraju over Sungjae ImEvent 27 · Weekly Board · Round 1 matchup8:45 PM ET, Aug 12+135BetMGM51.6%vs41.5%0u··Superseded
- Pick ID
- NAB-2309DF2B
- Sealed
- 8:45 PM ET, Aug 12 · revision 4, superseded by revision 5
- Sealed numbers
- ours 51.6% · market 41.5% · edge +10.1 pts
- Close
- pending; drift posts when the market closes
- Retail shelf
- +135 at BetMGM
- Grade
- graded void, unstaked; it counts toward calibration, never the record.
- Replaced by
- revision 5, sealed 5:45 AM ET, Aug 13 · the standing row →
Tommy Fleetwood over Cameron YoungEvent 27 · Weekly Board · Tournament matchup, 72 holes8:45 PM ET, Aug 12-105BetMGM57.3%vs53.2%0u··Superseded
- Pick ID
- NAB-02F1DCE3
- Sealed
- 8:45 PM ET, Aug 12 · revision 4, superseded by revision 5
- Sealed numbers
- ours 57.3% · market 53.2% · edge +4.1 pts
- Close
- pending; drift posts when the market closes
- Retail shelf
- -105 at BetMGM
- Replaced by
- revision 5, sealed 5:45 AM ET, Aug 13 · the standing row →
Eric Cole over Alex NorenEvent 27 · Weekly Board · Round 1 matchup8:45 PM ET, Aug 12+105BetMGM52.1%vs48.2%0u··Superseded
- Pick ID
- NAB-0489DFBC
- Sealed
- 8:45 PM ET, Aug 12 · revision 4, superseded by revision 5
- Sealed numbers
- ours 52.1% · market 48.2% · edge +3.9 pts
- Close
- pending; drift posts when the market closes
- Retail shelf
- +105 at BetMGM
- Grade
- graded won, unstaked; it counts toward calibration, never the record.
- Replaced by
- revision 5, sealed 5:45 AM ET, Aug 13 · the standing row →
Pierceson Coody over Sam StevensEvent 27 · Weekly Board · Round 1 matchup8:45 PM ET, Aug 12+105Caesars54.6%vs47.2%0u··Superseded
- Pick ID
- NAB-537A5A60
- Sealed
- 8:45 PM ET, Aug 12 · revision 4, superseded by revision 5
- Sealed numbers
- ours 54.6% · market 47.2% · edge +7.4 pts
- Close
- pending; drift posts when the market closes
- Retail shelf
- +105 at Caesars
- Grade
- graded lost, unstaked; it counts toward calibration, never the record.
- Replaced by
- revision 5, sealed 5:45 AM ET, Aug 13 · the standing row →
Tommy Fleetwood over Xander SchauffeleEvent 27 · Weekly Board · Tournament matchup, 72 holes8:45 PM ET, Aug 12+100FanDuel59.5%vs48.0%0u··Superseded
- Pick ID
- NAB-38D1BC11
- Sealed
- 8:45 PM ET, Aug 12 · revision 4, superseded by revision 5
- Sealed numbers
- ours 59.5% · market 48.0% · edge +11.5 pts
- Close
- pending; drift posts when the market closes
- Retail shelf
- +100 at FanDuel
- Replaced by
- revision 5, sealed 5:45 AM ET, Aug 13 · the standing row →
Sudarshan Yellamaraju over Sungjae ImEvent 27 · Weekly Board · Round 1 matchup8:00 PM ET, Aug 12+135BetMGM51.6%vs41.4%0u··Superseded
- Pick ID
- NAB-032C888E
- Sealed
- 8:00 PM ET, Aug 12 · revision 3, superseded by revision 5
- Sealed numbers
- ours 51.6% · market 41.4% · edge +10.2 pts
- Close
- pending; drift posts when the market closes
- Retail shelf
- +135 at BetMGM
- Grade
- graded void, unstaked; it counts toward calibration, never the record.
- Replaced by
- revision 5, sealed 5:45 AM ET, Aug 13 · the standing row →
Tommy Fleetwood over Cameron YoungEvent 27 · Weekly Board · Tournament matchup, 72 holes8:00 PM ET, Aug 12-105BetMGM57.3%vs53.2%0u··Superseded
- Pick ID
- NAB-94F3B5EA
- Sealed
- 8:00 PM ET, Aug 12 · revision 3, superseded by revision 5
- Sealed numbers
- ours 57.3% · market 53.2% · edge +4.1 pts
- Close
- pending; drift posts when the market closes
- Retail shelf
- -105 at BetMGM
- Replaced by
- revision 5, sealed 5:45 AM ET, Aug 13 · the standing row →
Pierceson Coody over Sam StevensEvent 27 · Weekly Board · Round 1 matchup8:00 PM ET, Aug 12+105Caesars54.6%vs47.4%0u··Superseded
- Pick ID
- NAB-F0C0A566
- Sealed
- 8:00 PM ET, Aug 12 · revision 3, superseded by revision 5
- Sealed numbers
- ours 54.6% · market 47.4% · edge +7.2 pts
- Close
- pending; drift posts when the market closes
- Retail shelf
- +105 at Caesars
- Grade
- graded lost, unstaked; it counts toward calibration, never the record.
- Replaced by
- revision 5, sealed 5:45 AM ET, Aug 13 · the standing row →
Eric Cole over Alex NorenEvent 27 · Weekly Board · Round 1 matchup8:00 PM ET, Aug 12+105BetMGM52.1%vs48.1%0u··Superseded
- Pick ID
- NAB-D14543CF
- Sealed
- 8:00 PM ET, Aug 12 · revision 3, superseded by revision 5
- Sealed numbers
- ours 52.1% · market 48.1% · edge +4.0 pts
- Close
- pending; drift posts when the market closes
- Retail shelf
- +105 at BetMGM
- Grade
- graded won, unstaked; it counts toward calibration, never the record.
- Replaced by
- revision 5, sealed 5:45 AM ET, Aug 13 · the standing row →
Tommy Fleetwood over Jordan SpiethEvent 27 · Weekly Board · Round 1 matchup8:00 PM ET, Aug 12-163FanDuel68.2%vs60.6%0u··Superseded
- Pick ID
- NAB-6BD0D0D5
- Sealed
- 8:00 PM ET, Aug 12 · revision 3, superseded by revision 5
- Sealed numbers
- ours 68.2% · market 60.6% · edge +7.6 pts
- Close
- pending; drift posts when the market closes
- Retail shelf
- -163 at FanDuel
- Grade
- graded void, unstaked; it counts toward calibration, never the record.
Sudarshan Yellamaraju over Sungjae ImEvent 27 · Weekly Board · Round 1 matchup6:00 PM ET, Aug 12+135BetMGM51.6%vs41.4%0u··Superseded
- Pick ID
- NAB-FC3274FF
- Sealed
- 6:00 PM ET, Aug 12 · revision 2, superseded by revision 5
- Sealed numbers
- ours 51.6% · market 41.4% · edge +10.2 pts
- Close
- pending; drift posts when the market closes
- Retail shelf
- +135 at BetMGM
- Grade
- graded void, unstaked; it counts toward calibration, never the record.
- Replaced by
- revision 5, sealed 5:45 AM ET, Aug 13 · the standing row →
Tommy Fleetwood over Cameron YoungEvent 27 · Weekly Board · Tournament matchup, 72 holes6:00 PM ET, Aug 12-105BetMGM57.2%vs53.2%0u··Superseded
- Pick ID
- NAB-32AFCD34
- Sealed
- 6:00 PM ET, Aug 12 · revision 2, superseded by revision 5
- Sealed numbers
- ours 57.2% · market 53.2% · edge +4.0 pts
- Close
- pending; drift posts when the market closes
- Retail shelf
- -105 at BetMGM
- Replaced by
- revision 5, sealed 5:45 AM ET, Aug 13 · the standing row →
Pierceson Coody over Sam StevensEvent 27 · Weekly Board · Round 1 matchup6:00 PM ET, Aug 12+105Caesars54.6%vs47.4%0u··Superseded
- Pick ID
- NAB-A064425E
- Sealed
- 6:00 PM ET, Aug 12 · revision 2, superseded by revision 5
- Sealed numbers
- ours 54.6% · market 47.4% · edge +7.2 pts
- Close
- pending; drift posts when the market closes
- Retail shelf
- +105 at Caesars
- Grade
- graded lost, unstaked; it counts toward calibration, never the record.
- Replaced by
- revision 5, sealed 5:45 AM ET, Aug 13 · the standing row →
Eric Cole over Alex NorenEvent 27 · Weekly Board · Round 1 matchup6:00 PM ET, Aug 12+105BetMGM52.1%vs48.1%0u··Superseded
- Pick ID
- NAB-6033E5F5
- Sealed
- 6:00 PM ET, Aug 12 · revision 2, superseded by revision 5
- Sealed numbers
- ours 52.1% · market 48.1% · edge +4.0 pts
- Close
- pending; drift posts when the market closes
- Retail shelf
- +105 at BetMGM
- Grade
- graded won, unstaked; it counts toward calibration, never the record.
- Replaced by
- revision 5, sealed 5:45 AM ET, Aug 13 · the standing row →
Tommy Fleetwood over Jordan SpiethEvent 27 · Weekly Board · Round 1 matchup6:00 PM ET, Aug 12-163FanDuel68.2%vs60.6%0u··Superseded
- Pick ID
- NAB-F4373C06
- Sealed
- 6:00 PM ET, Aug 12 · revision 2, superseded by revision 5
- Sealed numbers
- ours 68.2% · market 60.6% · edge +7.6 pts
- Close
- pending; drift posts when the market closes
- Retail shelf
- -163 at FanDuel
- Grade
- graded void, unstaked; it counts toward calibration, never the record.
Sudarshan Yellamaraju over Sungjae ImEvent 27 · Weekly Board · Round 1 matchup3:21 PM ET, Aug 12+135BetMGM51.6%vs41.4%0u··Superseded
- Pick ID
- NAB-4BC4395C
- Sealed
- 3:21 PM ET, Aug 12 · revision 1, superseded by revision 5
- Sealed numbers
- ours 51.6% · market 41.4% · edge +10.2 pts
- Close
- pending; drift posts when the market closes
- Retail shelf
- +135 at BetMGM
- Grade
- graded void, unstaked; it counts toward calibration, never the record.
- Replaced by
- revision 5, sealed 5:45 AM ET, Aug 13 · the standing row →
Jackson Koivun over Tom KimEvent 27 · Weekly Board · Tournament matchup, 72 holes3:21 PM ET, Aug 12-111FanDuel61.1%vs53.7%0u··Superseded
- Pick ID
- NAB-A9C55CF0
- Sealed
- 3:21 PM ET, Aug 12 · revision 1, superseded by revision 5
- Sealed numbers
- ours 61.1% · market 53.7% · edge +7.5 pts
- Close
- pending; drift posts when the market closes
- Retail shelf
- -111 at FanDuel
Tommy Fleetwood over Cameron YoungEvent 27 · Weekly Board · Tournament matchup, 72 holes3:21 PM ET, Aug 12-105BetMGM57.2%vs53.2%0u··Superseded
- Pick ID
- NAB-B948A09C
- Sealed
- 3:21 PM ET, Aug 12 · revision 1, superseded by revision 5
- Sealed numbers
- ours 57.2% · market 53.2% · edge +4.0 pts
- Close
- pending; drift posts when the market closes
- Retail shelf
- -105 at BetMGM
- Replaced by
- revision 5, sealed 5:45 AM ET, Aug 13 · the standing row →
Pierceson Coody over Sam StevensEvent 27 · Weekly Board · Round 1 matchup3:21 PM ET, Aug 12+105Caesars54.6%vs47.4%0u··Superseded
- Pick ID
- NAB-DAEAA264
- Sealed
- 3:21 PM ET, Aug 12 · revision 1, superseded by revision 5
- Sealed numbers
- ours 54.6% · market 47.4% · edge +7.2 pts
- Close
- pending; drift posts when the market closes
- Retail shelf
- +105 at Caesars
- Grade
- graded lost, unstaked; it counts toward calibration, never the record.
- Replaced by
- revision 5, sealed 5:45 AM ET, Aug 13 · the standing row →
Eric Cole over Alex NorenEvent 27 · Weekly Board · Round 1 matchup3:21 PM ET, Aug 12+105BetMGM52.1%vs48.1%0u··Superseded
- Pick ID
- NAB-D7822D1E
- Sealed
- 3:21 PM ET, Aug 12 · revision 1, superseded by revision 5
- Sealed numbers
- ours 52.1% · market 48.1% · edge +4.0 pts
- Close
- pending; drift posts when the market closes
- Retail shelf
- +105 at BetMGM
- Grade
- graded won, unstaked; it counts toward calibration, never the record.
- Replaced by
- revision 5, sealed 5:45 AM ET, Aug 13 · the standing row →
What each state meanspush, dead heat, void, correction, No Play and pass, defined once
- Standing
- sealed before the gun; the market has not graded it yet.
- Won / Lost
- settled on the final scores, exactly as the market settles.
- Dead heat
- a tie under the market’s rules; the settlement splits accordingly.
- Push
- the market returned the stake; no units move.
- Void
- the market voided the play, a withdrawal being the usual reason; the stake returns.
- No Play
- published and graded for calibration, never staked; it carries no money and never joins the record.
- Pass
- a side we priced and declined to publish. A pass counts in our own accounting; the nearest misses appear on the watch list, never here as wagers.
- Correction
- a fact restated after the seal, as a new appended row naming its author, its time and its reason. The original stands forever.
- Superseded
- a pre-gun draft replaced by a later revision. It stays on the log next to its replacement.
Tournament and season results live in the track record; this is the receipt behind them, row by row, forever.