The Ledger · Season 2026 · append-only · every row sealed before the gun
Append-only · no edits, ever
The permanent receipt
A row is written before the event with the price taken, the book, the stake and both probabilities at that moment. A correction is a new row, never an edit, so our mistakes stay on the page next to their fixes. Nothing published ever leaves this page.
- Rows sealed
- 345 the whole log, drafts and all
- Wagers
- 29 rows that carried money
- Graded
- 29 settled on final scores
- Standing
- 0 sealed, not yet graded
- No Plays
- 28 published, never staked
- Corrections
- 10 appended, never edited · 288 superseded drafts kept
Row by row, newest card first
Every row of every card that stood, the No Plays included. A No Play is graded for calibration but was never a wager.
EventAllEvent 557Event 60Event 28Event 27Wyndham ChampionshipRocket ClassicStateAllStandingGradedNo PlaySuperseded
Nicolai Hojgaard over J.J. SpaunRocket Classic · Daily Card · R4 · Round 4 matchup7:45 PM ET, Aug 1+117BetOnline60.1%vs44.3%1.5u+0.0 pts−1.50uLost
- Pick ID
- NAB-56ABD8FF
- Sealed
- 7:45 PM ET, Aug 1 · revision 1, the card that stood
- Sealed numbers
- ours 60.1% · market 44.3% · edge +15.7 pts
- Close
- drift +0.0 pts toward our side
- Retail shelf
- +117 at BetOnline
David Lipsky over Corey ConnersRocket Classic · Daily Card · R3 · Round 3 matchup8:15 AM ET, Aug 1+150FanDuel46.1%vs38.0%0u··No Play
- Pick ID
- NAB-5A0393B8
- Sealed
- 8:15 AM ET, Aug 1 · revision 2, the card that stood
- Sealed numbers
- ours 46.1% · market 38.0% · edge +8.1 pts
- Close
- pending; drift posts when the market closes
- Retail shelf
- +150 at FanDuel
- Grade
- graded won, unstaked; it counts toward calibration, never the record.
Austin Eckroat over Nicolai HojgaardRocket Classic · Daily Card · R3 · Round 3 matchup8:15 AM ET, Aug 1+162FanDuel44.5%vs40.1%0u··No Play
- Pick ID
- NAB-C1C06A13
- Sealed
- 8:15 AM ET, Aug 1 · revision 2, the card that stood
- Sealed numbers
- ours 44.5% · market 40.1% · edge +4.5 pts
- Close
- pending; drift posts when the market closes
- Retail shelf
- +162 at FanDuel
- Grade
- graded won, unstaked; it counts toward calibration, never the record.
Adrien Saddier over Jordan SpiethRocket Classic · Daily Card · R3 · Round 3 matchup8:15 AM ET, Aug 1+125FanDuel46.8%vs42.6%0u··No Play
- Pick ID
- NAB-7D0B3788
- Sealed
- 8:15 AM ET, Aug 1 · revision 2, the card that stood
- Sealed numbers
- ours 46.8% · market 42.6% · edge +4.2 pts
- Close
- pending; drift posts when the market closes
- Retail shelf
- +125 at FanDuel
- Grade
- graded won, unstaked; it counts toward calibration, never the record.
David Lipsky over Russell HenleyRocket Classic · Daily Card · R3 · Round 3 matchup8:15 AM ET, Aug 1+196DraftKings38.7%vs34.6%0u··No Play
- Pick ID
- NAB-22AB7C05
- Sealed
- 8:15 AM ET, Aug 1 · revision 2, the card that stood
- Sealed numbers
- ours 38.7% · market 34.6% · edge +4.1 pts
- Close
- pending; drift posts when the market closes
- Retail shelf
- +196 at DraftKings
- Grade
- graded void, unstaked; it counts toward calibration, never the record.
Chris Kirk over Xander SchauffeleRocket Classic · Daily Card · R3 · Round 3 matchup8:15 AM ET, Aug 1+154DraftKings42.0%vs39.1%0u··No Play
- Pick ID
- NAB-A774BED0
- Sealed
- 8:15 AM ET, Aug 1 · revision 2, the card that stood
- Sealed numbers
- ours 42.0% · market 39.1% · edge +2.9 pts
- Close
- pending; drift posts when the market closes
- Retail shelf
- +154 at DraftKings
- Grade
- graded won, unstaked; it counts toward calibration, never the record.
Si Woo Kim over Akshay BhatiaRocket Classic · Daily Card · R2 · Round 2 matchup11:15 PM ET, Jul 30-116bet36555.6%vs55.7%1.0uwas 0.5u−4.5 pts+0.86uWon
- Pick ID
- NAB-0C09A0CB
- Sealed
- 11:15 PM ET, Jul 30 · revision 1, the card that stood
- Sealed numbers
- ours 55.6% · market 55.7% · edge −0.1 pts
- Close
- drift −4.5 pts away from our side
- Retail shelf
- sealed before the shelf existed; no claim
- Correction
- Stake restated 0.5u to 1.0u by Mac Walsh, 11:17 AM ET, Aug 4, after this play settled: Desk standing practice is one unit minimum; a full unit was placed on this play. The sealed 0.5 was the model ask under the pre-2026-07-31 ladder. · the sealed row above is untouched
Chris Gotterup over Xander SchauffeleRocket Classic · Daily Card · R2 · Round 2 matchup11:15 PM ET, Jul 30+100bet36553.1%vs50.0%1.0uwas 0.5u−2.2 pts−1.00uLost
- Pick ID
- NAB-544F8770
- Sealed
- 11:15 PM ET, Jul 30 · revision 1, the card that stood
- Sealed numbers
- ours 53.1% · market 50.0% · edge +3.1 pts
- Close
- drift −2.2 pts away from our side
- Retail shelf
- sealed before the shelf existed; no claim
- Correction
- Stake restated 0.5u to 1.0u by Mac Walsh, 11:17 AM ET, Aug 4, after this play settled: Desk standing practice is one unit minimum; a full unit was placed on this play. The sealed 0.5 was the model ask under the pre-2026-07-31 ladder. · the sealed row above is untouched
Jesper Svensson over Johnny KeeferRocket Classic · Daily Card · R2 · Round 2 matchup11:15 PM ET, Jul 30+126BetOnline48.2%vs42.3%1.0uwas 0.5u+1.6 pts+1.26uWon
- Pick ID
- NAB-9114A69D
- Sealed
- 11:15 PM ET, Jul 30 · revision 1, the card that stood
- Sealed numbers
- ours 48.2% · market 42.3% · edge +5.9 pts
- Close
- drift +1.6 pts toward our side
- Retail shelf
- sealed before the shelf existed; no claim
- Correction
- Stake restated 0.5u to 1.0u by Mac Walsh, 11:17 AM ET, Aug 4, after this play settled: Desk standing practice is one unit minimum; a full unit was placed on this play. The sealed 0.5 was the model ask under the pre-2026-07-31 ladder. · the sealed row above is untouched
Davis Riley over Akshay BhatiaRocket Classic · Daily Card · R2 · Round 2 matchup11:15 PM ET, Jul 30+188FanDuel36.7%vs33.4%1.0uwas 0.5u−0.7 pts+1.88uWon
- Pick ID
- NAB-3916D49E
- Sealed
- 11:15 PM ET, Jul 30 · revision 1, the card that stood
- Sealed numbers
- ours 36.7% · market 33.4% · edge +3.3 pts
- Close
- drift −0.7 pts away from our side
- Retail shelf
- no major US book cleared; offshore only
- Correction
- Stake restated 0.5u to 1.0u by Mac Walsh, 11:17 AM ET, Aug 4, after this play settled: Desk standing practice is one unit minimum; a full unit was placed on this play. The sealed 0.5 was the model ask under the pre-2026-07-31 ladder. · the sealed row above is untouched
Harry Hall over Sam StevensRocket Classic · Daily Card · R2 · Round 2 matchup11:15 PM ET, Jul 30+114Betcris53.1%vs44.2%1.0uwas 0.5u+0.9 pts+1.14uWon
- Pick ID
- NAB-320EDB85
- Sealed
- 11:15 PM ET, Jul 30 · revision 1, the card that stood
- Sealed numbers
- ours 53.1% · market 44.2% · edge +8.9 pts
- Close
- drift +0.9 pts toward our side
- Retail shelf
- sealed before the shelf existed; no claim
- Correction
- Stake restated 0.5u to 1.0u by Mac Walsh, 11:17 AM ET, Aug 4, after this play settled: Desk standing practice is one unit minimum; a full unit was placed on this play. The sealed 0.5 was the model ask under the pre-2026-07-31 ladder. · the sealed row above is untouched
Zac Blair over Michael KimRocket Classic · Weekly Board · Round 1 matchup10:05 PM ET, Jul 29+108Unibet53.3%vs48.8%1.0uwas 0.5u−3.3 pts−1.00uLost
- Pick ID
- NAB-77EC1359
- Sealed
- 10:05 PM ET, Jul 29 · revision 5, the card that stood
- Sealed numbers
- ours 53.3% · market 48.8% · edge +4.5 pts
- Close
- drift −3.3 pts away from our side
- Retail shelf
- sealed before the shelf existed; no claim
- Correction
- Stake restated 0.5u to 1.0u by Mac Walsh, 11:17 AM ET, Aug 4, after this play settled: Desk standing practice is one unit minimum; a full unit was placed on this play. The sealed 0.5 was the model ask under the pre-2026-07-31 ladder. · the sealed row above is untouched
Russell Henley over Ben GriffinRocket Classic · Weekly Board · Tournament matchup, 72 holes10:05 PM ET, Jul 29-105bet36554.2%vs50.6%1.0uwas 0.5u·+0.95uWon
- Pick ID
- NAB-B3550EE9
- Sealed
- 10:05 PM ET, Jul 29 · revision 5, the card that stood
- Sealed numbers
- ours 54.2% · market 50.6% · edge +3.6 pts
- Close
- pending; drift posts when the market closes
- Retail shelf
- sealed before the shelf existed; no claim
- Correction
- Stake restated 0.5u to 1.0u by Mac Walsh, 11:17 AM ET, Aug 4, after this play settled: Desk standing practice is one unit minimum; a full unit was placed on this play. The sealed 0.5 was the model ask under the pre-2026-07-31 ladder. · the sealed row above is untouched
Jordan Spieth over Corey ConnersRocket Classic · Weekly Board · Round 1 matchup10:05 PM ET, Jul 29+105Pinnacle46.4%vs50.0%1.0uwas 0.5u−3.2 pts−1.00uLost
- Pick ID
- NAB-981C86A1
- Sealed
- 10:05 PM ET, Jul 29 · revision 5, the card that stood
- Sealed numbers
- ours 46.4% · market 50.0% · edge −3.6 pts
- Close
- drift −3.2 pts away from our side
- Retail shelf
- sealed before the shelf existed; no claim
- Correction
- Stake restated 0.5u to 1.0u by Mac Walsh, 11:17 AM ET, Aug 4, after this play settled: Desk standing practice is one unit minimum; a full unit was placed on this play. The sealed 0.5 was the model ask under the pre-2026-07-31 ladder. · the sealed row above is untouched
Zac Blair over Lucas GloverRocket Classic · Weekly Board · Tournament matchup, 72 holes10:05 PM ET, Jul 29-109Betcris62.7%vs51.0%1.0uwas 0.5u−2.2 pts+0.92uWon
- Pick ID
- NAB-AEEEE047
- Sealed
- 10:05 PM ET, Jul 29 · revision 5, the card that stood
- Sealed numbers
- ours 62.7% · market 51.0% · edge +11.7 pts
- Close
- drift −2.2 pts away from our side
- Retail shelf
- sealed before the shelf existed; no claim
- Correction
- Stake restated 0.5u to 1.0u by Mac Walsh, 11:17 AM ET, Aug 4, after this play settled: Desk standing practice is one unit minimum; a full unit was placed on this play. The sealed 0.5 was the model ask under the pre-2026-07-31 ladder. · the sealed row above is untouched
Billy Horschel over Max GreysermanRocket Classic · Weekly Board · Round 1 matchup10:05 PM ET, Jul 29+115BetOnline50.0%vs44.5%1.0uwas 0.5u+3.8 pts+0.07uDead heat
- Pick ID
- NAB-20FC9B3F
- Sealed
- 10:05 PM ET, Jul 29 · revision 5, the card that stood
- Sealed numbers
- ours 50.0% · market 44.5% · edge +5.5 pts
- Close
- drift +3.8 pts toward our side
- Retail shelf
- sealed before the shelf existed; no claim
- Correction
- Stake restated 0.5u to 1.0u by Mac Walsh, 11:17 AM ET, Aug 4, after this play settled: Desk standing practice is one unit minimum; a full unit was placed on this play. The sealed 0.5 was the model ask under the pre-2026-07-31 ladder. · the sealed row above is untouched
What each state meanspush, dead heat, void, correction, No Play and pass, defined once
- Standing
- sealed before the gun; the market has not graded it yet.
- Won / Lost
- settled on the final scores, exactly as the market settles.
- Dead heat
- a tie under the market’s rules; the settlement splits accordingly.
- Push
- the market returned the stake; no units move.
- Void
- the market voided the play, a withdrawal being the usual reason; the stake returns.
- No Play
- published and graded for calibration, never staked; it carries no money and never joins the record.
- Pass
- a side we priced and declined to publish. A pass counts in our own accounting; the nearest misses appear on the watch list, never here as wagers.
- Correction
- a fact restated after the seal, as a new appended row naming its author, its time and its reason. The original stands forever.
- Superseded
- a pre-gun draft replaced by a later revision. It stays on the log next to its replacement.
Tournament and season results live in the track record; this is the receipt behind them, row by row, forever.