The Ledger · Season 2026 · append-only · every row sealed before the gun

Append-only · no edits, ever

The permanent receipt

A row is written before the event with the price taken, the book, the stake and both probabilities at that moment. A correction is a new row, never an edit, so our mistakes stay on the page next to their fixes. Nothing published ever leaves this page.

Rows sealed: 661
Wagers: 31
Graded: 31
Standing: 0
No Plays: 48
Corrections: 10

Row by row, newest card first

The whole append-only ledger, superseded revisions and all. A card we replaced before the gun stays here forever, next to its replacement.

EventAll Event 540 Event 528 Event 527 Event 554 Event 557 Event 60 Event 28 Event 27 Wyndham Championship Rocket ClassicStateAll Standing Graded No Play Superseded

Peter Malnati over Michael KimRocket Classic · Daily Card · R3 · Round 3 matchup10:45 AM ET, Aug 1+180BetMGM41.5%37.3%0u−3.3 pts·Superseded

Pick ID: NAB-B88EF885
Sealed: 10:45 AM ET, Aug 1 · revision 3, superseded by revision 2
Sealed numbers: ours 41.5% · market 37.3% · edge +4.2 pts
Close: drift −3.3 pts away from our side
Retail shelf: +180 at BetMGM
Grade: graded lost, unstaked; it counts toward calibration, never the record.

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David Lipsky over Russell HenleyRocket Classic · Daily Card · R3 · Round 3 matchup10:45 AM ET, Aug 1+196DraftKings38.7%34.7%0u−2.5 pts·Superseded

Pick ID: NAB-C66DA166
Sealed: 10:45 AM ET, Aug 1 · revision 3, superseded by revision 2
Sealed numbers: ours 38.7% · market 34.7% · edge +4.0 pts
Close: drift −2.5 pts away from our side
Retail shelf: +196 at DraftKings
Grade: graded a dead heat, unstaked; it counts toward calibration, never the record.
Replaced by: revision 2, sealed 8:15 AM ET, Aug 1 · the standing row →

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Justin Lower over Doug GhimRocket Classic · Daily Card · R3 · Round 3 matchup10:45 AM ET, Aug 1+188FanDuel38.2%34.6%0u−1.2 pts·Superseded

Pick ID: NAB-42F84662
Sealed: 10:45 AM ET, Aug 1 · revision 3, superseded by revision 2
Sealed numbers: ours 38.2% · market 34.6% · edge +3.6 pts
Close: drift −1.2 pts away from our side
Retail shelf: +188 at FanDuel
Grade: graded won, unstaked; it counts toward calibration, never the record.

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Chris Kirk over Xander SchauffeleRocket Classic · Daily Card · R3 · Round 3 matchup10:45 AM ET, Aug 1+160BetMGM42.0%38.5%0u−2.0 pts·Superseded

Pick ID: NAB-C089E226
Sealed: 10:45 AM ET, Aug 1 · revision 3, superseded by revision 2
Sealed numbers: ours 42.0% · market 38.5% · edge +3.5 pts
Close: drift −2.0 pts away from our side
Retail shelf: +160 at BetMGM
Grade: graded won, unstaked; it counts toward calibration, never the record.
Replaced by: revision 2, sealed 8:15 AM ET, Aug 1 · the standing row →

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Keegan Bradley over Michael ThorbjornsenRocket Classic · Daily Card · R3 · Round 3 matchup10:45 AM ET, Aug 1+100FanDuel48.6%48.8%0u−1.4 pts·Superseded

Pick ID: NAB-F1DDE1FE
Sealed: 10:45 AM ET, Aug 1 · revision 3, superseded by revision 2
Sealed numbers: ours 48.6% · market 48.8% · edge −0.2 pts
Close: drift −1.4 pts away from our side
Retail shelf: +100 at FanDuel
Grade: graded lost, unstaked; it counts toward calibration, never the record.

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Emiliano Grillo over Marco PengeRocket Classic · Daily Card · R3 · Round 3 matchup7:37 AM ET, Aug 1+105BetOnline56.8%46.8%0u··Superseded

Pick ID: NAB-0E40495A
Sealed: 7:37 AM ET, Aug 1 · revision 1, superseded by revision 2
Sealed numbers: ours 56.8% · market 46.8% · edge +10.1 pts
Close: pending; drift posts when the market closes
Retail shelf: sealed before the shelf existed; no claim
Grade: graded lost, unstaked; it counts toward calibration, never the record.

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Austin Eckroat over Marco PengeRocket Classic · Daily Card · R3 · Round 3 matchup7:37 AM ET, Aug 1+130bet36552.3%42.5%0u··Superseded

Pick ID: NAB-1EB4978A
Sealed: 7:37 AM ET, Aug 1 · revision 1, superseded by revision 2
Sealed numbers: ours 52.3% · market 42.5% · edge +9.7 pts
Close: pending; drift posts when the market closes
Retail shelf: sealed before the shelf existed; no claim
Grade: graded won, unstaked; it counts toward calibration, never the record.

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Peter Malnati over Michael KimRocket Classic · Daily Card · R3 · Round 3 matchup7:37 AM ET, Aug 1+170Bovada41.5%37.6%0u··Superseded

Pick ID: NAB-5280B04A
Sealed: 7:37 AM ET, Aug 1 · revision 1, superseded by revision 2
Sealed numbers: ours 41.5% · market 37.6% · edge +3.8 pts
Close: pending; drift posts when the market closes
Retail shelf: no major US book cleared; offshore only
Grade: graded lost, unstaked; it counts toward calibration, never the record.

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Thorbjorn Olesen over Tony FinauRocket Classic · Daily Card · R3 · Round 3 matchup7:37 AM ET, Aug 1+121BetOnline50.4%47.8%0u+0.0 pts·Superseded

Pick ID: NAB-2ACA63A8
Sealed: 7:37 AM ET, Aug 1 · revision 1, superseded by revision 2
Sealed numbers: ours 50.4% · market 47.8% · edge +2.6 pts
Close: drift +0.0 pts toward our side
Retail shelf: sealed before the shelf existed; no claim
Grade: graded won, unstaked; it counts toward calibration, never the record.

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Doug Ghim over Justin LowerRocket Classic · Daily Card · R3 · Round 3 matchup7:37 AM ET, Aug 1-165Bovada61.8%65.7%0u··Superseded

Pick ID: NAB-E0379A65
Sealed: 7:37 AM ET, Aug 1 · revision 1, superseded by revision 2
Sealed numbers: ours 61.8% · market 65.7% · edge −4.0 pts
Close: pending; drift posts when the market closes
Retail shelf: no major US book cleared; offshore only
Grade: graded lost, unstaked; it counts toward calibration, never the record.

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Zac Blair over Michael KimRocket Classic · Weekly Board · Round 1 matchup10:04 PM ET, Jul 29+108Unibet53.3%48.8%0u··Superseded

Pick ID: NAB-4668F5C9
Sealed: 10:04 PM ET, Jul 29 · revision 4, superseded by revision 5
Sealed numbers: ours 53.3% · market 48.8% · edge +4.5 pts
Close: pending; drift posts when the market closes
Retail shelf: sealed before the shelf existed; no claim
Grade: graded lost, unstaked; it counts toward calibration, never the record.

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Russell Henley over Ben GriffinRocket Classic · Weekly Board · Tournament matchup, 72 holes10:04 PM ET, Jul 29-105bet36554.2%50.6%0u··Superseded

Pick ID: NAB-D1C19C7B
Sealed: 10:04 PM ET, Jul 29 · revision 4, superseded by revision 5
Sealed numbers: ours 54.2% · market 50.6% · edge +3.6 pts
Close: pending; drift posts when the market closes
Retail shelf: sealed before the shelf existed; no claim
Grade: graded won, unstaked; it counts toward calibration, never the record.

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Jordan Spieth over Corey ConnersRocket Classic · Weekly Board · Round 1 matchup10:04 PM ET, Jul 29+105Pinnacle46.4%50.0%0u··Superseded

Pick ID: NAB-A9B39B01
Sealed: 10:04 PM ET, Jul 29 · revision 4, superseded by revision 5
Sealed numbers: ours 46.4% · market 50.0% · edge −3.6 pts
Close: pending; drift posts when the market closes
Retail shelf: sealed before the shelf existed; no claim
Grade: graded lost, unstaked; it counts toward calibration, never the record.

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Zac Blair over Lucas GloverRocket Classic · Weekly Board · Tournament matchup, 72 holes10:04 PM ET, Jul 29-109Betcris62.7%51.0%0u··Superseded

Pick ID: NAB-357F3D50
Sealed: 10:04 PM ET, Jul 29 · revision 4, superseded by revision 5
Sealed numbers: ours 62.7% · market 51.0% · edge +11.7 pts
Close: pending; drift posts when the market closes
Retail shelf: sealed before the shelf existed; no claim
Grade: graded won, unstaked; it counts toward calibration, never the record.

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Billy Horschel over Max GreysermanRocket Classic · Weekly Board · Round 1 matchup10:04 PM ET, Jul 29+115BetOnline50.0%44.5%0u··Superseded

Pick ID: NAB-76C80086
Sealed: 10:04 PM ET, Jul 29 · revision 4, superseded by revision 5
Sealed numbers: ours 50.0% · market 44.5% · edge +5.5 pts
Close: pending; drift posts when the market closes
Retail shelf: sealed before the shelf existed; no claim
Grade: graded void, unstaked; it counts toward calibration, never the record.

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Zac Blair over Michael KimRocket Classic · Weekly Board · Round 1 matchup9:56 PM ET, Jul 29+108Unibet53.3%48.8%0u··Superseded

Pick ID: NAB-26BE7059
Sealed: 9:56 PM ET, Jul 29 · revision 3, superseded by revision 5
Sealed numbers: ours 53.3% · market 48.8% · edge +4.5 pts
Close: pending; drift posts when the market closes
Retail shelf: sealed before the shelf existed; no claim
Grade: graded lost, unstaked; it counts toward calibration, never the record.

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Russell Henley over Ben GriffinRocket Classic · Weekly Board · Tournament matchup, 72 holes9:56 PM ET, Jul 29-105bet36554.2%50.6%0u··Superseded

Pick ID: NAB-4DB20DFA
Sealed: 9:56 PM ET, Jul 29 · revision 3, superseded by revision 5
Sealed numbers: ours 54.2% · market 50.6% · edge +3.6 pts
Close: pending; drift posts when the market closes
Retail shelf: sealed before the shelf existed; no claim
Grade: graded won, unstaked; it counts toward calibration, never the record.

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Jordan Spieth over Corey ConnersRocket Classic · Weekly Board · Round 1 matchup9:56 PM ET, Jul 29+105Pinnacle46.4%50.0%0u··Superseded

Pick ID: NAB-F97E3D6D
Sealed: 9:56 PM ET, Jul 29 · revision 3, superseded by revision 5
Sealed numbers: ours 46.4% · market 50.0% · edge −3.6 pts
Close: pending; drift posts when the market closes
Retail shelf: sealed before the shelf existed; no claim
Grade: graded lost, unstaked; it counts toward calibration, never the record.

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Zac Blair over Lucas GloverRocket Classic · Weekly Board · Tournament matchup, 72 holes9:56 PM ET, Jul 29-109Betcris62.7%51.0%0u··Superseded

Pick ID: NAB-5BC8ADBC
Sealed: 9:56 PM ET, Jul 29 · revision 3, superseded by revision 5
Sealed numbers: ours 62.7% · market 51.0% · edge +11.7 pts
Close: pending; drift posts when the market closes
Retail shelf: sealed before the shelf existed; no claim
Grade: graded won, unstaked; it counts toward calibration, never the record.

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Billy Horschel over Max GreysermanRocket Classic · Weekly Board · Round 1 matchup9:56 PM ET, Jul 29+115BetOnline50.0%44.5%0u··Superseded

Pick ID: NAB-C2E1BB01
Sealed: 9:56 PM ET, Jul 29 · revision 3, superseded by revision 5
Sealed numbers: ours 50.0% · market 44.5% · edge +5.5 pts
Close: pending; drift posts when the market closes
Retail shelf: sealed before the shelf existed; no claim
Grade: graded void, unstaked; it counts toward calibration, never the record.

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Kohles, Ben top-5Rocket Classic · Weekly Board9:51 PM ET, Jul 29+2350Betcris7.7%4.8%0u··Superseded

Pick ID: NAB-E72327A5
Sealed: 9:51 PM ET, Jul 29 · revision 2, superseded by revision 5
Sealed numbers: ours 7.7% · market 4.8% · edge +2.9 pts
Close: pending; drift posts when the market closes
Retail shelf: sealed before the shelf existed; no claim

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Coody, Pierceson top-5Rocket Classic · Weekly Board9:51 PM ET, Jul 29+2550Betcris3.5%4.3%0u··Superseded

Pick ID: NAB-9B41C8CE
Sealed: 9:51 PM ET, Jul 29 · revision 2, superseded by revision 5
Sealed numbers: ours 3.5% · market 4.3% · edge −0.8 pts
Close: pending; drift posts when the market closes
Retail shelf: sealed before the shelf existed; no claim

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Greyserman, Max top-5Rocket Classic · Weekly Board9:51 PM ET, Jul 29+2150Betcris3.7%5.0%0u··Superseded

Pick ID: NAB-4B039CF6
Sealed: 9:51 PM ET, Jul 29 · revision 2, superseded by revision 5
Sealed numbers: ours 3.7% · market 5.0% · edge −1.2 pts
Close: pending; drift posts when the market closes
Retail shelf: sealed before the shelf existed; no claim

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Zac Blair over Michael KimRocket Classic · Weekly Board · Round 1 matchup9:51 PM ET, Jul 29+108Unibet53.3%48.8%0u··Superseded

Pick ID: NAB-C3486EF0
Sealed: 9:51 PM ET, Jul 29 · revision 2, superseded by revision 5
Sealed numbers: ours 53.3% · market 48.8% · edge +4.5 pts
Close: pending; drift posts when the market closes
Retail shelf: sealed before the shelf existed; no claim
Grade: graded lost, unstaked; it counts toward calibration, never the record.

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Russell Henley over Ben GriffinRocket Classic · Weekly Board · Tournament matchup, 72 holes9:51 PM ET, Jul 29-105bet36554.2%50.6%0u··Superseded

Pick ID: NAB-077314A7
Sealed: 9:51 PM ET, Jul 29 · revision 2, superseded by revision 5
Sealed numbers: ours 54.2% · market 50.6% · edge +3.6 pts
Close: pending; drift posts when the market closes
Retail shelf: sealed before the shelf existed; no claim
Grade: graded won, unstaked; it counts toward calibration, never the record.

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Russell Henley over Ben GriffinRocket Classic · Weekly Board · Tournament matchup, 72 holes9:08 PM ET, Jul 29-105bet36554.2%50.6%0u··Superseded

Pick ID: NAB-7AB1C2DE
Sealed: 9:08 PM ET, Jul 29 · revision 1, superseded by revision 5
Sealed numbers: ours 54.2% · market 50.6% · edge +3.6 pts
Close: pending; drift posts when the market closes
Retail shelf: sealed before the shelf existed; no claim
Grade: graded won, unstaked; it counts toward calibration, never the record.

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Russell Henley over Cameron YoungRocket Classic · Weekly Board · Round 1 matchup9:08 PM ET, Jul 29+125bet36548.5%42.4%0u··Superseded

Pick ID: NAB-87B6396B
Sealed: 9:08 PM ET, Jul 29 · revision 1, superseded by revision 5
Sealed numbers: ours 48.5% · market 42.4% · edge +6.1 pts
Close: pending; drift posts when the market closes
Retail shelf: sealed before the shelf existed; no claim
Grade: graded won, unstaked; it counts toward calibration, never the record.

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Lee Hodges over Ryo HisatsuneRocket Classic · Weekly Board · Round 1 matchup9:08 PM ET, Jul 29+100bet36552.0%47.8%0u··Superseded

Pick ID: NAB-2E568C71
Sealed: 9:08 PM ET, Jul 29 · revision 1, superseded by revision 5
Sealed numbers: ours 52.0% · market 47.8% · edge +4.2 pts
Close: pending; drift posts when the market closes
Retail shelf: sealed before the shelf existed; no claim
Grade: graded lost, unstaked; it counts toward calibration, never the record.

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Eric Cole over Keegan BradleyRocket Classic · Weekly Board · Round 1 matchup9:08 PM ET, Jul 29+100bet36551.4%47.8%0u··Superseded

Pick ID: NAB-2885DC47
Sealed: 9:08 PM ET, Jul 29 · revision 1, superseded by revision 5
Sealed numbers: ours 51.4% · market 47.8% · edge +3.6 pts
Close: pending; drift posts when the market closes
Retail shelf: sealed before the shelf existed; no claim
Grade: graded lost, unstaked; it counts toward calibration, never the record.

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Zac Blair over Michael KimRocket Classic · Weekly Board · Round 1 matchup9:08 PM ET, Jul 29-105bet36553.3%48.8%0u··Superseded

Pick ID: NAB-1908CFAE
Sealed: 9:08 PM ET, Jul 29 · revision 1, superseded by revision 5
Sealed numbers: ours 53.3% · market 48.8% · edge +4.5 pts
Close: pending; drift posts when the market closes
Retail shelf: sealed before the shelf existed; no claim
Grade: graded lost, unstaked; it counts toward calibration, never the record.

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What each state meanspush, dead heat, void, correction, No Play and pass, defined once

Standing: sealed before the gun; the market has not graded it yet.
Won / Lost: settled on the final scores, exactly as the market settles.
Dead heat: a tie under the market’s rules; the settlement splits accordingly.
Push: the market returned the stake; no units move.
Void: the market voided the play, a withdrawal being the usual reason; the stake returns.
No Play: published and graded for calibration, never staked; it carries no money and never joins the record.
Pass: a side we priced and declined to publish. A pass counts in our own accounting; the nearest misses appear on the watch list, never here as wagers.
Correction: a fact restated after the seal, as a new appended row naming its author, its time and its reason. The original stands forever.
Superseded: a pre-gun draft replaced by a later revision. It stays on the log next to its replacement.

Tournament and season results live in the track record; this is the receipt behind them, row by row, forever.