The Ledger · Season 2026 · append-only · every row sealed before the gun
Append-only · no edits, ever
The permanent receipt
A row is written before the event with the price taken, the book, the stake and both probabilities at that moment. A correction is a new row, never an edit, so our mistakes stay on the page next to their fixes. Nothing published ever leaves this page.
- Rows sealed
- 345 the whole log, drafts and all
- Wagers
- 29 rows that carried money
- Graded
- 29 settled on final scores
- Standing
- 0 sealed, not yet graded
- No Plays
- 28 published, never staked
- Corrections
- 10 appended, never edited · 288 superseded drafts kept
Row by row, newest card first
The whole append-only ledger, superseded revisions and all. A card we replaced before the gun stays here forever, next to its replacement.
EventAllEvent 557Event 60Event 28Event 27Wyndham ChampionshipRocket ClassicStateAllStandingGradedNo PlaySuperseded
Peter Malnati over Michael KimRocket Classic · Daily Card · R3 · Round 3 matchup10:45 AM ET, Aug 1+180BetMGM41.5%vs37.3%0u−3.3 pts·Superseded
- Pick ID
- NAB-B88EF885
- Sealed
- 10:45 AM ET, Aug 1 · revision 3, superseded by revision 2
- Sealed numbers
- ours 41.5% · market 37.3% · edge +4.2 pts
- Close
- drift −3.3 pts away from our side
- Retail shelf
- +180 at BetMGM
- Grade
- graded lost, unstaked; it counts toward calibration, never the record.
David Lipsky over Russell HenleyRocket Classic · Daily Card · R3 · Round 3 matchup10:45 AM ET, Aug 1+196DraftKings38.7%vs34.7%0u−2.5 pts·Superseded
- Pick ID
- NAB-C66DA166
- Sealed
- 10:45 AM ET, Aug 1 · revision 3, superseded by revision 2
- Sealed numbers
- ours 38.7% · market 34.7% · edge +4.0 pts
- Close
- drift −2.5 pts away from our side
- Retail shelf
- +196 at DraftKings
- Grade
- graded a dead heat, unstaked; it counts toward calibration, never the record.
- Replaced by
- revision 2, sealed 8:15 AM ET, Aug 1 · the standing row →
Justin Lower over Doug GhimRocket Classic · Daily Card · R3 · Round 3 matchup10:45 AM ET, Aug 1+188FanDuel38.2%vs34.6%0u−1.2 pts·Superseded
- Pick ID
- NAB-42F84662
- Sealed
- 10:45 AM ET, Aug 1 · revision 3, superseded by revision 2
- Sealed numbers
- ours 38.2% · market 34.6% · edge +3.6 pts
- Close
- drift −1.2 pts away from our side
- Retail shelf
- +188 at FanDuel
- Grade
- graded won, unstaked; it counts toward calibration, never the record.
Chris Kirk over Xander SchauffeleRocket Classic · Daily Card · R3 · Round 3 matchup10:45 AM ET, Aug 1+160BetMGM42.0%vs38.5%0u−2.0 pts·Superseded
- Pick ID
- NAB-C089E226
- Sealed
- 10:45 AM ET, Aug 1 · revision 3, superseded by revision 2
- Sealed numbers
- ours 42.0% · market 38.5% · edge +3.5 pts
- Close
- drift −2.0 pts away from our side
- Retail shelf
- +160 at BetMGM
- Grade
- graded won, unstaked; it counts toward calibration, never the record.
- Replaced by
- revision 2, sealed 8:15 AM ET, Aug 1 · the standing row →
Keegan Bradley over Michael ThorbjornsenRocket Classic · Daily Card · R3 · Round 3 matchup10:45 AM ET, Aug 1+100FanDuel48.6%vs48.8%0u−1.4 pts·Superseded
- Pick ID
- NAB-F1DDE1FE
- Sealed
- 10:45 AM ET, Aug 1 · revision 3, superseded by revision 2
- Sealed numbers
- ours 48.6% · market 48.8% · edge −0.2 pts
- Close
- drift −1.4 pts away from our side
- Retail shelf
- +100 at FanDuel
- Grade
- graded lost, unstaked; it counts toward calibration, never the record.
Emiliano Grillo over Marco PengeRocket Classic · Daily Card · R3 · Round 3 matchup7:37 AM ET, Aug 1+105BetOnline56.8%vs46.8%0u··Superseded
- Pick ID
- NAB-0E40495A
- Sealed
- 7:37 AM ET, Aug 1 · revision 1, superseded by revision 2
- Sealed numbers
- ours 56.8% · market 46.8% · edge +10.1 pts
- Close
- pending; drift posts when the market closes
- Retail shelf
- sealed before the shelf existed; no claim
- Grade
- graded lost, unstaked; it counts toward calibration, never the record.
Austin Eckroat over Marco PengeRocket Classic · Daily Card · R3 · Round 3 matchup7:37 AM ET, Aug 1+130bet36552.3%vs42.5%0u··Superseded
- Pick ID
- NAB-1EB4978A
- Sealed
- 7:37 AM ET, Aug 1 · revision 1, superseded by revision 2
- Sealed numbers
- ours 52.3% · market 42.5% · edge +9.7 pts
- Close
- pending; drift posts when the market closes
- Retail shelf
- sealed before the shelf existed; no claim
- Grade
- graded won, unstaked; it counts toward calibration, never the record.
Peter Malnati over Michael KimRocket Classic · Daily Card · R3 · Round 3 matchup7:37 AM ET, Aug 1+170Bovada41.5%vs37.6%0u··Superseded
- Pick ID
- NAB-5280B04A
- Sealed
- 7:37 AM ET, Aug 1 · revision 1, superseded by revision 2
- Sealed numbers
- ours 41.5% · market 37.6% · edge +3.8 pts
- Close
- pending; drift posts when the market closes
- Retail shelf
- no major US book cleared; offshore only
- Grade
- graded lost, unstaked; it counts toward calibration, never the record.
Thorbjorn Olesen over Tony FinauRocket Classic · Daily Card · R3 · Round 3 matchup7:37 AM ET, Aug 1+121BetOnline50.4%vs47.8%0u+0.0 pts·Superseded
- Pick ID
- NAB-2ACA63A8
- Sealed
- 7:37 AM ET, Aug 1 · revision 1, superseded by revision 2
- Sealed numbers
- ours 50.4% · market 47.8% · edge +2.6 pts
- Close
- drift +0.0 pts toward our side
- Retail shelf
- sealed before the shelf existed; no claim
- Grade
- graded won, unstaked; it counts toward calibration, never the record.
Doug Ghim over Justin LowerRocket Classic · Daily Card · R3 · Round 3 matchup7:37 AM ET, Aug 1-165Bovada61.8%vs65.7%0u··Superseded
- Pick ID
- NAB-E0379A65
- Sealed
- 7:37 AM ET, Aug 1 · revision 1, superseded by revision 2
- Sealed numbers
- ours 61.8% · market 65.7% · edge −4.0 pts
- Close
- pending; drift posts when the market closes
- Retail shelf
- no major US book cleared; offshore only
- Grade
- graded lost, unstaked; it counts toward calibration, never the record.
Zac Blair over Michael KimRocket Classic · Weekly Board · Round 1 matchup10:04 PM ET, Jul 29+108Unibet53.3%vs48.8%0u··Superseded
- Pick ID
- NAB-4668F5C9
- Sealed
- 10:04 PM ET, Jul 29 · revision 4, superseded by revision 5
- Sealed numbers
- ours 53.3% · market 48.8% · edge +4.5 pts
- Close
- pending; drift posts when the market closes
- Retail shelf
- sealed before the shelf existed; no claim
- Grade
- graded lost, unstaked; it counts toward calibration, never the record.
Russell Henley over Ben GriffinRocket Classic · Weekly Board · Tournament matchup, 72 holes10:04 PM ET, Jul 29-105bet36554.2%vs50.6%0u··Superseded
- Pick ID
- NAB-D1C19C7B
- Sealed
- 10:04 PM ET, Jul 29 · revision 4, superseded by revision 5
- Sealed numbers
- ours 54.2% · market 50.6% · edge +3.6 pts
- Close
- pending; drift posts when the market closes
- Retail shelf
- sealed before the shelf existed; no claim
- Grade
- graded won, unstaked; it counts toward calibration, never the record.
Jordan Spieth over Corey ConnersRocket Classic · Weekly Board · Round 1 matchup10:04 PM ET, Jul 29+105Pinnacle46.4%vs50.0%0u··Superseded
- Pick ID
- NAB-A9B39B01
- Sealed
- 10:04 PM ET, Jul 29 · revision 4, superseded by revision 5
- Sealed numbers
- ours 46.4% · market 50.0% · edge −3.6 pts
- Close
- pending; drift posts when the market closes
- Retail shelf
- sealed before the shelf existed; no claim
- Grade
- graded lost, unstaked; it counts toward calibration, never the record.
Zac Blair over Lucas GloverRocket Classic · Weekly Board · Tournament matchup, 72 holes10:04 PM ET, Jul 29-109Betcris62.7%vs51.0%0u··Superseded
- Pick ID
- NAB-357F3D50
- Sealed
- 10:04 PM ET, Jul 29 · revision 4, superseded by revision 5
- Sealed numbers
- ours 62.7% · market 51.0% · edge +11.7 pts
- Close
- pending; drift posts when the market closes
- Retail shelf
- sealed before the shelf existed; no claim
- Grade
- graded won, unstaked; it counts toward calibration, never the record.
Billy Horschel over Max GreysermanRocket Classic · Weekly Board · Round 1 matchup10:04 PM ET, Jul 29+115BetOnline50.0%vs44.5%0u··Superseded
- Pick ID
- NAB-76C80086
- Sealed
- 10:04 PM ET, Jul 29 · revision 4, superseded by revision 5
- Sealed numbers
- ours 50.0% · market 44.5% · edge +5.5 pts
- Close
- pending; drift posts when the market closes
- Retail shelf
- sealed before the shelf existed; no claim
- Grade
- graded void, unstaked; it counts toward calibration, never the record.
Zac Blair over Michael KimRocket Classic · Weekly Board · Round 1 matchup9:56 PM ET, Jul 29+108Unibet53.3%vs48.8%0u··Superseded
- Pick ID
- NAB-26BE7059
- Sealed
- 9:56 PM ET, Jul 29 · revision 3, superseded by revision 5
- Sealed numbers
- ours 53.3% · market 48.8% · edge +4.5 pts
- Close
- pending; drift posts when the market closes
- Retail shelf
- sealed before the shelf existed; no claim
- Grade
- graded lost, unstaked; it counts toward calibration, never the record.
Russell Henley over Ben GriffinRocket Classic · Weekly Board · Tournament matchup, 72 holes9:56 PM ET, Jul 29-105bet36554.2%vs50.6%0u··Superseded
- Pick ID
- NAB-4DB20DFA
- Sealed
- 9:56 PM ET, Jul 29 · revision 3, superseded by revision 5
- Sealed numbers
- ours 54.2% · market 50.6% · edge +3.6 pts
- Close
- pending; drift posts when the market closes
- Retail shelf
- sealed before the shelf existed; no claim
- Grade
- graded won, unstaked; it counts toward calibration, never the record.
Jordan Spieth over Corey ConnersRocket Classic · Weekly Board · Round 1 matchup9:56 PM ET, Jul 29+105Pinnacle46.4%vs50.0%0u··Superseded
- Pick ID
- NAB-F97E3D6D
- Sealed
- 9:56 PM ET, Jul 29 · revision 3, superseded by revision 5
- Sealed numbers
- ours 46.4% · market 50.0% · edge −3.6 pts
- Close
- pending; drift posts when the market closes
- Retail shelf
- sealed before the shelf existed; no claim
- Grade
- graded lost, unstaked; it counts toward calibration, never the record.
Zac Blair over Lucas GloverRocket Classic · Weekly Board · Tournament matchup, 72 holes9:56 PM ET, Jul 29-109Betcris62.7%vs51.0%0u··Superseded
- Pick ID
- NAB-5BC8ADBC
- Sealed
- 9:56 PM ET, Jul 29 · revision 3, superseded by revision 5
- Sealed numbers
- ours 62.7% · market 51.0% · edge +11.7 pts
- Close
- pending; drift posts when the market closes
- Retail shelf
- sealed before the shelf existed; no claim
- Grade
- graded won, unstaked; it counts toward calibration, never the record.
Billy Horschel over Max GreysermanRocket Classic · Weekly Board · Round 1 matchup9:56 PM ET, Jul 29+115BetOnline50.0%vs44.5%0u··Superseded
- Pick ID
- NAB-C2E1BB01
- Sealed
- 9:56 PM ET, Jul 29 · revision 3, superseded by revision 5
- Sealed numbers
- ours 50.0% · market 44.5% · edge +5.5 pts
- Close
- pending; drift posts when the market closes
- Retail shelf
- sealed before the shelf existed; no claim
- Grade
- graded void, unstaked; it counts toward calibration, never the record.
Kohles, Ben top-5Rocket Classic · Weekly Board9:51 PM ET, Jul 29+2350Betcris7.7%vs4.8%0u··Superseded
- Pick ID
- NAB-E72327A5
- Sealed
- 9:51 PM ET, Jul 29 · revision 2, superseded by revision 5
- Sealed numbers
- ours 7.7% · market 4.8% · edge +2.9 pts
- Close
- pending; drift posts when the market closes
- Retail shelf
- sealed before the shelf existed; no claim
Coody, Pierceson top-5Rocket Classic · Weekly Board9:51 PM ET, Jul 29+2550Betcris3.5%vs4.3%0u··Superseded
- Pick ID
- NAB-9B41C8CE
- Sealed
- 9:51 PM ET, Jul 29 · revision 2, superseded by revision 5
- Sealed numbers
- ours 3.5% · market 4.3% · edge −0.8 pts
- Close
- pending; drift posts when the market closes
- Retail shelf
- sealed before the shelf existed; no claim
Greyserman, Max top-5Rocket Classic · Weekly Board9:51 PM ET, Jul 29+2150Betcris3.7%vs5.0%0u··Superseded
- Pick ID
- NAB-4B039CF6
- Sealed
- 9:51 PM ET, Jul 29 · revision 2, superseded by revision 5
- Sealed numbers
- ours 3.7% · market 5.0% · edge −1.2 pts
- Close
- pending; drift posts when the market closes
- Retail shelf
- sealed before the shelf existed; no claim
Zac Blair over Michael KimRocket Classic · Weekly Board · Round 1 matchup9:51 PM ET, Jul 29+108Unibet53.3%vs48.8%0u··Superseded
- Pick ID
- NAB-C3486EF0
- Sealed
- 9:51 PM ET, Jul 29 · revision 2, superseded by revision 5
- Sealed numbers
- ours 53.3% · market 48.8% · edge +4.5 pts
- Close
- pending; drift posts when the market closes
- Retail shelf
- sealed before the shelf existed; no claim
- Grade
- graded lost, unstaked; it counts toward calibration, never the record.
Russell Henley over Ben GriffinRocket Classic · Weekly Board · Tournament matchup, 72 holes9:51 PM ET, Jul 29-105bet36554.2%vs50.6%0u··Superseded
- Pick ID
- NAB-077314A7
- Sealed
- 9:51 PM ET, Jul 29 · revision 2, superseded by revision 5
- Sealed numbers
- ours 54.2% · market 50.6% · edge +3.6 pts
- Close
- pending; drift posts when the market closes
- Retail shelf
- sealed before the shelf existed; no claim
- Grade
- graded won, unstaked; it counts toward calibration, never the record.
Russell Henley over Ben GriffinRocket Classic · Weekly Board · Tournament matchup, 72 holes9:08 PM ET, Jul 29-105bet36554.2%vs50.6%0u··Superseded
- Pick ID
- NAB-7AB1C2DE
- Sealed
- 9:08 PM ET, Jul 29 · revision 1, superseded by revision 5
- Sealed numbers
- ours 54.2% · market 50.6% · edge +3.6 pts
- Close
- pending; drift posts when the market closes
- Retail shelf
- sealed before the shelf existed; no claim
- Grade
- graded won, unstaked; it counts toward calibration, never the record.
Russell Henley over Cameron YoungRocket Classic · Weekly Board · Round 1 matchup9:08 PM ET, Jul 29+125bet36548.5%vs42.4%0u··Superseded
- Pick ID
- NAB-87B6396B
- Sealed
- 9:08 PM ET, Jul 29 · revision 1, superseded by revision 5
- Sealed numbers
- ours 48.5% · market 42.4% · edge +6.1 pts
- Close
- pending; drift posts when the market closes
- Retail shelf
- sealed before the shelf existed; no claim
- Grade
- graded won, unstaked; it counts toward calibration, never the record.
Lee Hodges over Ryo HisatsuneRocket Classic · Weekly Board · Round 1 matchup9:08 PM ET, Jul 29+100bet36552.0%vs47.8%0u··Superseded
- Pick ID
- NAB-2E568C71
- Sealed
- 9:08 PM ET, Jul 29 · revision 1, superseded by revision 5
- Sealed numbers
- ours 52.0% · market 47.8% · edge +4.2 pts
- Close
- pending; drift posts when the market closes
- Retail shelf
- sealed before the shelf existed; no claim
- Grade
- graded lost, unstaked; it counts toward calibration, never the record.
Eric Cole over Keegan BradleyRocket Classic · Weekly Board · Round 1 matchup9:08 PM ET, Jul 29+100bet36551.4%vs47.8%0u··Superseded
- Pick ID
- NAB-2885DC47
- Sealed
- 9:08 PM ET, Jul 29 · revision 1, superseded by revision 5
- Sealed numbers
- ours 51.4% · market 47.8% · edge +3.6 pts
- Close
- pending; drift posts when the market closes
- Retail shelf
- sealed before the shelf existed; no claim
- Grade
- graded lost, unstaked; it counts toward calibration, never the record.
Zac Blair over Michael KimRocket Classic · Weekly Board · Round 1 matchup9:08 PM ET, Jul 29-105bet36553.3%vs48.8%0u··Superseded
- Pick ID
- NAB-1908CFAE
- Sealed
- 9:08 PM ET, Jul 29 · revision 1, superseded by revision 5
- Sealed numbers
- ours 53.3% · market 48.8% · edge +4.5 pts
- Close
- pending; drift posts when the market closes
- Retail shelf
- sealed before the shelf existed; no claim
- Grade
- graded lost, unstaked; it counts toward calibration, never the record.
What each state meanspush, dead heat, void, correction, No Play and pass, defined once
- Standing
- sealed before the gun; the market has not graded it yet.
- Won / Lost
- settled on the final scores, exactly as the market settles.
- Dead heat
- a tie under the market’s rules; the settlement splits accordingly.
- Push
- the market returned the stake; no units move.
- Void
- the market voided the play, a withdrawal being the usual reason; the stake returns.
- No Play
- published and graded for calibration, never staked; it carries no money and never joins the record.
- Pass
- a side we priced and declined to publish. A pass counts in our own accounting; the nearest misses appear on the watch list, never here as wagers.
- Correction
- a fact restated after the seal, as a new appended row naming its author, its time and its reason. The original stands forever.
- Superseded
- a pre-gun draft replaced by a later revision. It stays on the log next to its replacement.
Tournament and season results live in the track record; this is the receipt behind them, row by row, forever.