The Ledger · Season 2026 · append-only · every row sealed before the gun

Append-only · no edits, ever

The permanent receipt

A row is written before the event with the price taken, the book, the stake and both probabilities at that moment. A correction is a new row, never an edit, so our mistakes stay on the page next to their fixes. Nothing published ever leaves this page.

Rows sealed: 661
Wagers: 31
Graded: 31
Standing: 0
No Plays: 48
Corrections: 10

Row by row, newest card first

The whole append-only ledger, superseded revisions and all. A card we replaced before the gun stays here forever, next to its replacement.

EventAll Event 540 Event 528 Event 527 Event 554 Event 557 Event 60 Event 28 Event 27 Wyndham Championship Rocket ClassicStateAll Standing Graded No Play Superseded

Ben Kohles over Gordon SargentEvent 554 · Daily Card · R4 · Round 4 matchup10:45 PM ET, Oct 3-125FanDuel64.9%56.0%1.0u−1.2 pts+0.80uWon

Pick ID: NAB-24172356
Sealed: 10:45 PM ET, Oct 3 · revision 1, the card that stood
Sealed numbers: ours 64.9% · market 56.0% · edge +8.9 pts
Close: drift −1.2 pts away from our side
Retail shelf: -125 at FanDuel

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Adam Svensson over Jackson KoivunEvent 554 · Daily Card · R4 · Round 4 matchup10:45 PM ET, Oct 3+225DraftKings33.7%32.4%1.5u−4.0 pts+3.38uWon

Pick ID: NAB-EE58C129
Sealed: 10:45 PM ET, Oct 3 · revision 1, the card that stood
Sealed numbers: ours 33.7% · market 32.4% · edge +1.3 pts
Close: drift −4.0 pts away from our side
Retail shelf: +225 at DraftKings

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Ryan Fox over Xander SchauffeleEvent 60 · Daily Card · R4 · Round 4 matchup10:31 PM ET, Aug 29+188FanDuel47.8%34.9%2.5u−2.2 pts−2.50uLost

Pick ID: NAB-F90AE846
Sealed: 10:31 PM ET, Aug 29 · revision 1, the card that stood
Sealed numbers: ours 47.8% · market 34.9% · edge +12.8 pts
Close: drift −2.2 pts away from our side
Retail shelf: +188 at FanDuel

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Alex Smalley over Xander SchauffeleEvent 60 · Daily Card · R2 · Round 2 matchup11:03 PM ET, Aug 27+165Caesars46.6%36.8%1.0u−1.1 pts+1.65uWon

Pick ID: NAB-5F24BD96
Sealed: 11:03 PM ET, Aug 27 · revision 1, the card that stood
Sealed numbers: ours 46.6% · market 36.8% · edge +9.7 pts
Close: drift −1.1 pts away from our side
Retail shelf: +165 at Caesars

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Robert MacIntyre over Scottie SchefflerEvent 28 · Daily Card · R3 · Round 3 matchup10:31 PM ET, Aug 21+250DraftKings38.9%27.9%2.0u−0.6 pts+0.00uVoid

Pick ID: NAB-F29C1DA3
Sealed: 10:31 PM ET, Aug 21 · revision 1, the card that stood
Sealed numbers: ours 38.9% · market 27.9% · edge +11.0 pts
Close: drift −0.6 pts away from our side
Retail shelf: +250 at DraftKings

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Matt McCarty over Matt FitzpatrickEvent 28 · Daily Card · R3 · Round 3 matchup10:31 PM ET, Aug 21+200Caesars37.9%34.0%1.0u+1.4 pts−1.00uLost

Pick ID: NAB-8A7F21BB
Sealed: 10:31 PM ET, Aug 21 · revision 1, the card that stood
Sealed numbers: ours 37.9% · market 34.0% · edge +3.9 pts
Close: drift +1.4 pts toward our side
Retail shelf: +200 at Caesars

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Matt Fitzpatrick over Scottie SchefflerEvent 28 · Weekly Board · Round 1 matchup5:45 AM ET, Aug 20+180DraftKings43.0%35.0%1.0u−1.0 pts+1.80uWon

Pick ID: NAB-3AB22807
Sealed: 5:45 AM ET, Aug 20 · revision 18, the card that stood
Sealed numbers: ours 43.0% · market 35.0% · edge +8.0 pts
Close: drift −1.0 pts away from our side
Retail shelf: +180 at DraftKings

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Rory McIlroy over Scottie SchefflerEvent 28 · Weekly Board · Tournament matchup, 72 holes5:45 AM ET, Aug 20+250FanDuel40.1%28.4%1.0u−1.6 pts+2.50uWon

Pick ID: NAB-23ABC32D
Sealed: 5:45 AM ET, Aug 20 · revision 18, the card that stood
Sealed numbers: ours 40.1% · market 28.4% · edge +11.6 pts
Close: drift −1.6 pts away from our side
Retail shelf: +250 at FanDuel

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Matt Fitzpatrick over Scottie SchefflerEvent 28 · Daily Card · R1 · Round 1 matchup11:46 PM ET, Aug 18+188FanDuel43.0%34.0%1.5u+0.4 pts+2.82uWon

Pick ID: NAB-BD0DDAD6
Sealed: 11:46 PM ET, Aug 18 · revision 3, the card that stood
Sealed numbers: ours 43.0% · market 34.0% · edge +9.0 pts
Close: drift +0.4 pts toward our side
Retail shelf: +188 at FanDuel

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Matti Schmid over Michael BrennanEvent 27 · Daily Card · R4 · Round 4 matchup10:45 PM ET, Aug 15+150FanDuel46.5%41.0%1.5u+0.8 pts−1.50uLost

Pick ID: NAB-3646D94F
Sealed: 10:45 PM ET, Aug 15 · revision 1, the card that stood
Sealed numbers: ours 46.5% · market 41.0% · edge +5.5 pts
Close: drift +0.8 pts toward our side
Retail shelf: +150 at FanDuel

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Keith Mitchell over Ludvig AbergEvent 27 · Daily Card · R4 · Round 4 matchup10:45 PM ET, Aug 15+150FanDuel46.5%41.0%1.0u−3.0 pts−1.00uLost

Pick ID: NAB-9E09F83D
Sealed: 10:45 PM ET, Aug 15 · revision 1, the card that stood
Sealed numbers: ours 46.5% · market 41.0% · edge +5.5 pts
Close: drift −3.0 pts away from our side
Retail shelf: +150 at FanDuel

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Ryo Hisatsune over Xander SchauffeleEvent 27 · Daily Card · R3 · Round 3 matchup10:45 PM ET, Aug 14+175Caesars43.0%37.1%1.5u−2.8 pts−1.50uLost

Pick ID: NAB-CA311A66
Sealed: 10:45 PM ET, Aug 14 · revision 1, the card that stood
Sealed numbers: ours 43.0% · market 37.1% · edge +5.9 pts
Close: drift −2.8 pts away from our side
Retail shelf: +175 at Caesars

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Max Homa over Shane LowryEvent 27 · Daily Card · R2 · Round 2 matchup10:45 PM ET, Aug 13+150FanDuel46.7%41.2%1.0u−2.0 pts+1.50uWon

Pick ID: NAB-722ADE18
Sealed: 10:45 PM ET, Aug 13 · revision 1, the card that stood
Sealed numbers: ours 46.7% · market 41.2% · edge +5.5 pts
Close: drift −2.0 pts away from our side
Retail shelf: +150 at FanDuel

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Hayden Springer over Eric ColeWyndham Championship · Daily Card · R4 · Round 4 matchup10:31 PM ET, Aug 8+175Caesars46.5%36.4%1.5u−1.0 pts+0.00uVoid

Pick ID: NAB-AB26B29F
Sealed: 10:31 PM ET, Aug 8 · revision 1, the card that stood
Sealed numbers: ours 46.5% · market 36.4% · edge +10.1 pts
Close: drift −1.0 pts away from our side
Retail shelf: +175 at Caesars

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David Skinns over Sahith TheegalaWyndham Championship · Daily Card · R4 · Round 4 matchup10:31 PM ET, Aug 8+138DraftKings49.4%42.8%1.5u−2.9 pts+2.07uWon

Pick ID: NAB-B8DC4D42
Sealed: 10:31 PM ET, Aug 8 · revision 1, the card that stood
Sealed numbers: ours 49.4% · market 42.8% · edge +6.7 pts
Close: drift −2.9 pts away from our side
Retail shelf: +138 at DraftKings

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Pontus Nyholm over Rasmus HojgaardWyndham Championship · Daily Card · R4 · Round 4 matchup10:31 PM ET, Aug 8+132DraftKings46.8%44.9%1.0u−4.0 pts−1.00uLost

Pick ID: NAB-FB3A5A15
Sealed: 10:31 PM ET, Aug 8 · revision 1, the card that stood
Sealed numbers: ours 46.8% · market 44.9% · edge +1.9 pts
Close: drift −4.0 pts away from our side
Retail shelf: +132 at DraftKings

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Tyler Collet over Brooks KoepkaWyndham Championship · Daily Card · R3 · Round 3 matchup9:45 PM ET, Aug 7+270Caesars34.0%26.4%1.0u−0.8 pts+2.70uWon

Pick ID: NAB-5BC4C449
Sealed: 9:45 PM ET, Aug 7 · revision 1, the card that stood
Sealed numbers: ours 34.0% · market 26.4% · edge +7.6 pts
Close: drift −0.8 pts away from our side
Retail shelf: +270 at Caesars

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Patton Kizzire over Jordan SpiethWyndham Championship · Daily Card · R3 · Round 3 matchup9:45 PM ET, Aug 7+198DraftKings39.8%34.5%1.5u−2.5 pts−1.50uLost

Pick ID: NAB-446E7637
Sealed: 9:45 PM ET, Aug 7 · revision 1, the card that stood
Sealed numbers: ours 39.8% · market 34.5% · edge +5.3 pts
Close: drift −2.5 pts away from our side
Retail shelf: +198 at DraftKings

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Kevin Streelman in a 3-ballWyndham Championship · Daily Card · R2 · Round 2 3-ball v Kevin Yu, Brian Campbell8:45 PM ET, Aug 6+270FanDuel34.8%28.2%1.5u−1.0 pts+4.05uWon

Pick ID: NAB-FE8ABCB1
Sealed: 8:45 PM ET, Aug 6 · revision 2, the card that stood
Sealed numbers: ours 34.8% · market 28.2% · edge +6.6 pts
Close: drift −1.0 pts away from our side
Retail shelf: +270 at FanDuel

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Christo Lamprecht in a 3-ballWyndham Championship · Daily Card · R2 · Round 2 3-ball v Adrien Dumont De Chassart, Ben James8:45 PM ET, Aug 6+650BetMGM19.7%14.7%1.0u−3.2 pts−1.00uLost

Pick ID: NAB-F9B6F0A8
Sealed: 8:45 PM ET, Aug 6 · revision 2, the card that stood
Sealed numbers: ours 19.7% · market 14.7% · edge +4.9 pts
Close: drift −3.2 pts away from our side
Retail shelf: +650 at BetMGM

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Nicolai Hojgaard over J.J. SpaunRocket Classic · Daily Card · R4 · Round 4 matchup7:45 PM ET, Aug 1+117BetOnline60.1%44.3%1.5u+0.0 pts−1.50uLost

Pick ID: NAB-56ABD8FF
Sealed: 7:45 PM ET, Aug 1 · revision 1, the card that stood
Sealed numbers: ours 60.1% · market 44.3% · edge +15.7 pts
Close: drift +0.0 pts toward our side
Retail shelf: +117 at BetOnline

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Si Woo Kim over Akshay BhatiaRocket Classic · Daily Card · R2 · Round 2 matchup11:15 PM ET, Jul 30-116bet36555.6%55.7%1.0uwas 0.5u−4.5 pts+0.86uWon

Pick ID: NAB-0C09A0CB
Sealed: 11:15 PM ET, Jul 30 · revision 1, the card that stood
Sealed numbers: ours 55.6% · market 55.7% · edge −0.1 pts
Close: drift −4.5 pts away from our side
Retail shelf: sealed before the shelf existed; no claim
Correction: Stake restated 0.5u to 1.0u by Mac Walsh, 11:17 AM ET, Aug 4, after this play settled: Desk standing practice is one unit minimum; a full unit was placed on this play. The sealed 0.5 was the model ask under the pre-2026-07-31 ladder. · the sealed row above is untouched

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Chris Gotterup over Xander SchauffeleRocket Classic · Daily Card · R2 · Round 2 matchup11:15 PM ET, Jul 30+100bet36553.1%50.0%1.0uwas 0.5u−2.2 pts−1.00uLost

Pick ID: NAB-544F8770
Sealed: 11:15 PM ET, Jul 30 · revision 1, the card that stood
Sealed numbers: ours 53.1% · market 50.0% · edge +3.1 pts
Close: drift −2.2 pts away from our side
Retail shelf: sealed before the shelf existed; no claim
Correction: Stake restated 0.5u to 1.0u by Mac Walsh, 11:17 AM ET, Aug 4, after this play settled: Desk standing practice is one unit minimum; a full unit was placed on this play. The sealed 0.5 was the model ask under the pre-2026-07-31 ladder. · the sealed row above is untouched

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Jesper Svensson over Johnny KeeferRocket Classic · Daily Card · R2 · Round 2 matchup11:15 PM ET, Jul 30+126BetOnline48.2%42.3%1.0uwas 0.5u+1.6 pts+1.26uWon

Pick ID: NAB-9114A69D
Sealed: 11:15 PM ET, Jul 30 · revision 1, the card that stood
Sealed numbers: ours 48.2% · market 42.3% · edge +5.9 pts
Close: drift +1.6 pts toward our side
Retail shelf: sealed before the shelf existed; no claim
Correction: Stake restated 0.5u to 1.0u by Mac Walsh, 11:17 AM ET, Aug 4, after this play settled: Desk standing practice is one unit minimum; a full unit was placed on this play. The sealed 0.5 was the model ask under the pre-2026-07-31 ladder. · the sealed row above is untouched

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Davis Riley over Akshay BhatiaRocket Classic · Daily Card · R2 · Round 2 matchup11:15 PM ET, Jul 30+188FanDuel36.7%33.4%1.0uwas 0.5u−0.7 pts+1.88uWon

Pick ID: NAB-3916D49E
Sealed: 11:15 PM ET, Jul 30 · revision 1, the card that stood
Sealed numbers: ours 36.7% · market 33.4% · edge +3.3 pts
Close: drift −0.7 pts away from our side
Retail shelf: no major US book cleared; offshore only
Correction: Stake restated 0.5u to 1.0u by Mac Walsh, 11:17 AM ET, Aug 4, after this play settled: Desk standing practice is one unit minimum; a full unit was placed on this play. The sealed 0.5 was the model ask under the pre-2026-07-31 ladder. · the sealed row above is untouched

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Harry Hall over Sam StevensRocket Classic · Daily Card · R2 · Round 2 matchup11:15 PM ET, Jul 30+114Betcris53.1%44.2%1.0uwas 0.5u+0.9 pts+1.14uWon

Pick ID: NAB-320EDB85
Sealed: 11:15 PM ET, Jul 30 · revision 1, the card that stood
Sealed numbers: ours 53.1% · market 44.2% · edge +8.9 pts
Close: drift +0.9 pts toward our side
Retail shelf: sealed before the shelf existed; no claim
Correction: Stake restated 0.5u to 1.0u by Mac Walsh, 11:17 AM ET, Aug 4, after this play settled: Desk standing practice is one unit minimum; a full unit was placed on this play. The sealed 0.5 was the model ask under the pre-2026-07-31 ladder. · the sealed row above is untouched

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Zac Blair over Michael KimRocket Classic · Weekly Board · Round 1 matchup10:05 PM ET, Jul 29+108Unibet53.3%48.8%1.0uwas 0.5u−3.3 pts−1.00uLost

Pick ID: NAB-77EC1359
Sealed: 10:05 PM ET, Jul 29 · revision 5, the card that stood
Sealed numbers: ours 53.3% · market 48.8% · edge +4.5 pts
Close: drift −3.3 pts away from our side
Retail shelf: sealed before the shelf existed; no claim
Correction: Stake restated 0.5u to 1.0u by Mac Walsh, 11:17 AM ET, Aug 4, after this play settled: Desk standing practice is one unit minimum; a full unit was placed on this play. The sealed 0.5 was the model ask under the pre-2026-07-31 ladder. · the sealed row above is untouched

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Russell Henley over Ben GriffinRocket Classic · Weekly Board · Tournament matchup, 72 holes10:05 PM ET, Jul 29-105bet36554.2%50.6%1.0uwas 0.5u·+0.95uWon

Pick ID: NAB-B3550EE9
Sealed: 10:05 PM ET, Jul 29 · revision 5, the card that stood
Sealed numbers: ours 54.2% · market 50.6% · edge +3.6 pts
Close: pending; drift posts when the market closes
Retail shelf: sealed before the shelf existed; no claim
Correction: Stake restated 0.5u to 1.0u by Mac Walsh, 11:17 AM ET, Aug 4, after this play settled: Desk standing practice is one unit minimum; a full unit was placed on this play. The sealed 0.5 was the model ask under the pre-2026-07-31 ladder. · the sealed row above is untouched

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Jordan Spieth over Corey ConnersRocket Classic · Weekly Board · Round 1 matchup10:05 PM ET, Jul 29+105Pinnacle46.4%50.0%1.0uwas 0.5u−3.2 pts−1.00uLost

Pick ID: NAB-981C86A1
Sealed: 10:05 PM ET, Jul 29 · revision 5, the card that stood
Sealed numbers: ours 46.4% · market 50.0% · edge −3.6 pts
Close: drift −3.2 pts away from our side
Retail shelf: sealed before the shelf existed; no claim
Correction: Stake restated 0.5u to 1.0u by Mac Walsh, 11:17 AM ET, Aug 4, after this play settled: Desk standing practice is one unit minimum; a full unit was placed on this play. The sealed 0.5 was the model ask under the pre-2026-07-31 ladder. · the sealed row above is untouched

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Zac Blair over Lucas GloverRocket Classic · Weekly Board · Tournament matchup, 72 holes10:05 PM ET, Jul 29-109Betcris62.7%51.0%1.0uwas 0.5u−2.2 pts+0.92uWon

Pick ID: NAB-AEEEE047
Sealed: 10:05 PM ET, Jul 29 · revision 5, the card that stood
Sealed numbers: ours 62.7% · market 51.0% · edge +11.7 pts
Close: drift −2.2 pts away from our side
Retail shelf: sealed before the shelf existed; no claim
Correction: Stake restated 0.5u to 1.0u by Mac Walsh, 11:17 AM ET, Aug 4, after this play settled: Desk standing practice is one unit minimum; a full unit was placed on this play. The sealed 0.5 was the model ask under the pre-2026-07-31 ladder. · the sealed row above is untouched

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Billy Horschel over Max GreysermanRocket Classic · Weekly Board · Round 1 matchup10:05 PM ET, Jul 29+115BetOnline50.0%44.5%1.0uwas 0.5u+3.8 pts+0.07uDead heat

Pick ID: NAB-20FC9B3F
Sealed: 10:05 PM ET, Jul 29 · revision 5, the card that stood
Sealed numbers: ours 50.0% · market 44.5% · edge +5.5 pts
Close: drift +3.8 pts toward our side
Retail shelf: sealed before the shelf existed; no claim
Correction: Stake restated 0.5u to 1.0u by Mac Walsh, 11:17 AM ET, Aug 4, after this play settled: Desk standing practice is one unit minimum; a full unit was placed on this play. The sealed 0.5 was the model ask under the pre-2026-07-31 ladder. · the sealed row above is untouched

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What each state meanspush, dead heat, void, correction, No Play and pass, defined once

Standing: sealed before the gun; the market has not graded it yet.
Won / Lost: settled on the final scores, exactly as the market settles.
Dead heat: a tie under the market’s rules; the settlement splits accordingly.
Push: the market returned the stake; no units move.
Void: the market voided the play, a withdrawal being the usual reason; the stake returns.
No Play: published and graded for calibration, never staked; it carries no money and never joins the record.
Pass: a side we priced and declined to publish. A pass counts in our own accounting; the nearest misses appear on the watch list, never here as wagers.
Correction: a fact restated after the seal, as a new appended row naming its author, its time and its reason. The original stands forever.
Superseded: a pre-gun draft replaced by a later revision. It stays on the log next to its replacement.

Tournament and season results live in the track record; this is the receipt behind them, row by row, forever.