The Ledger · Season 2026 · append-only · every row sealed before the gun

Append-only · no edits, ever

The permanent receipt

A row is written before the event with the price taken, the book, the stake and both probabilities at that moment. A correction is a new row, never an edit, so our mistakes stay on the page next to their fixes. Nothing published ever leaves this page.

Rows sealed: 345
Wagers: 29
Graded: 29
Standing: 0
No Plays: 28
Corrections: 10

Row by row, newest card first

Every row of every card that stood, the No Plays included. A No Play is graded for calibration but was never a wager.

EventAll Event 557 Event 60 Event 28 Event 27 Wyndham Championship Rocket ClassicStateAll Standing Graded No Play Superseded

Ryan Fox over Xander SchauffeleEvent 60 · Daily Card · R4 · Round 4 matchup10:31 PM ET, Aug 29+188FanDuel47.8%34.9%2.5u−2.2 pts−2.50uLost

Pick ID: NAB-F90AE846
Sealed: 10:31 PM ET, Aug 29 · revision 1, the card that stood
Sealed numbers: ours 47.8% · market 34.9% · edge +12.8 pts
Close: drift −2.2 pts away from our side
Retail shelf: +188 at FanDuel

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Alex Smalley over Xander SchauffeleEvent 60 · Daily Card · R2 · Round 2 matchup11:03 PM ET, Aug 27+165Caesars46.6%36.8%1.0u−1.1 pts+1.65uWon

Pick ID: NAB-5F24BD96
Sealed: 11:03 PM ET, Aug 27 · revision 1, the card that stood
Sealed numbers: ours 46.6% · market 36.8% · edge +9.7 pts
Close: drift −1.1 pts away from our side
Retail shelf: +165 at Caesars

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Robert MacIntyre over Scottie SchefflerEvent 28 · Daily Card · R3 · Round 3 matchup10:31 PM ET, Aug 21+250DraftKings38.9%27.9%2.0u−0.6 pts+0.00uVoid

Pick ID: NAB-F29C1DA3
Sealed: 10:31 PM ET, Aug 21 · revision 1, the card that stood
Sealed numbers: ours 38.9% · market 27.9% · edge +11.0 pts
Close: drift −0.6 pts away from our side
Retail shelf: +250 at DraftKings

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Matt McCarty over Matt FitzpatrickEvent 28 · Daily Card · R3 · Round 3 matchup10:31 PM ET, Aug 21+200Caesars37.9%34.0%1.0u+1.4 pts−1.00uLost

Pick ID: NAB-8A7F21BB
Sealed: 10:31 PM ET, Aug 21 · revision 1, the card that stood
Sealed numbers: ours 37.9% · market 34.0% · edge +3.9 pts
Close: drift +1.4 pts toward our side
Retail shelf: +200 at Caesars

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Rory McIlroy over Scottie SchefflerEvent 28 · Weekly Board · Tournament matchup, 72 holes5:45 AM ET, Aug 20+250FanDuel40.1%28.4%1.0u−1.6 pts+2.50uWon

Pick ID: NAB-23ABC32D
Sealed: 5:45 AM ET, Aug 20 · revision 18, the card that stood
Sealed numbers: ours 40.1% · market 28.4% · edge +11.6 pts
Close: drift −1.6 pts away from our side
Retail shelf: +250 at FanDuel

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Matt Fitzpatrick over Scottie SchefflerEvent 28 · Weekly Board · Round 1 matchup5:45 AM ET, Aug 20+180DraftKings43.0%35.0%1.0u−1.0 pts+1.80uWon

Pick ID: NAB-3AB22807
Sealed: 5:45 AM ET, Aug 20 · revision 18, the card that stood
Sealed numbers: ours 43.0% · market 35.0% · edge +8.0 pts
Close: drift −1.0 pts away from our side
Retail shelf: +180 at DraftKings

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Matt Fitzpatrick over Scottie SchefflerEvent 28 · Daily Card · R1 · Round 1 matchup11:46 PM ET, Aug 18+188FanDuel43.0%34.0%1.5u+0.4 pts+2.82uWon

Pick ID: NAB-BD0DDAD6
Sealed: 11:46 PM ET, Aug 18 · revision 3, the card that stood
Sealed numbers: ours 43.0% · market 34.0% · edge +9.0 pts
Close: drift +0.4 pts toward our side
Retail shelf: +188 at FanDuel

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Matti Schmid over Michael BrennanEvent 27 · Daily Card · R4 · Round 4 matchup10:45 PM ET, Aug 15+150FanDuel46.5%41.0%1.5u+0.8 pts−1.50uLost

Pick ID: NAB-3646D94F
Sealed: 10:45 PM ET, Aug 15 · revision 1, the card that stood
Sealed numbers: ours 46.5% · market 41.0% · edge +5.5 pts
Close: drift +0.8 pts toward our side
Retail shelf: +150 at FanDuel

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Keith Mitchell over Ludvig AbergEvent 27 · Daily Card · R4 · Round 4 matchup10:45 PM ET, Aug 15+150FanDuel46.5%41.0%1.0u−3.0 pts−1.00uLost

Pick ID: NAB-9E09F83D
Sealed: 10:45 PM ET, Aug 15 · revision 1, the card that stood
Sealed numbers: ours 46.5% · market 41.0% · edge +5.5 pts
Close: drift −3.0 pts away from our side
Retail shelf: +150 at FanDuel

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Ryo Hisatsune over Xander SchauffeleEvent 27 · Daily Card · R3 · Round 3 matchup10:45 PM ET, Aug 14+175Caesars43.0%37.1%1.5u−2.8 pts−1.50uLost

Pick ID: NAB-CA311A66
Sealed: 10:45 PM ET, Aug 14 · revision 1, the card that stood
Sealed numbers: ours 43.0% · market 37.1% · edge +5.9 pts
Close: drift −2.8 pts away from our side
Retail shelf: +175 at Caesars

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Max Homa over Shane LowryEvent 27 · Daily Card · R2 · Round 2 matchup10:45 PM ET, Aug 13+150FanDuel46.7%41.2%1.0u−2.0 pts+1.50uWon

Pick ID: NAB-722ADE18
Sealed: 10:45 PM ET, Aug 13 · revision 1, the card that stood
Sealed numbers: ours 46.7% · market 41.2% · edge +5.5 pts
Close: drift −2.0 pts away from our side
Retail shelf: +150 at FanDuel

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Hayden Springer over Eric ColeWyndham Championship · Daily Card · R4 · Round 4 matchup10:31 PM ET, Aug 8+175Caesars46.5%36.4%1.5u−1.0 pts+0.00uVoid

Pick ID: NAB-AB26B29F
Sealed: 10:31 PM ET, Aug 8 · revision 1, the card that stood
Sealed numbers: ours 46.5% · market 36.4% · edge +10.1 pts
Close: drift −1.0 pts away from our side
Retail shelf: +175 at Caesars

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David Skinns over Sahith TheegalaWyndham Championship · Daily Card · R4 · Round 4 matchup10:31 PM ET, Aug 8+138DraftKings49.4%42.8%1.5u−2.9 pts+2.07uWon

Pick ID: NAB-B8DC4D42
Sealed: 10:31 PM ET, Aug 8 · revision 1, the card that stood
Sealed numbers: ours 49.4% · market 42.8% · edge +6.7 pts
Close: drift −2.9 pts away from our side
Retail shelf: +138 at DraftKings

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Pontus Nyholm over Rasmus HojgaardWyndham Championship · Daily Card · R4 · Round 4 matchup10:31 PM ET, Aug 8+132DraftKings46.8%44.9%1.0u−4.0 pts−1.00uLost

Pick ID: NAB-FB3A5A15
Sealed: 10:31 PM ET, Aug 8 · revision 1, the card that stood
Sealed numbers: ours 46.8% · market 44.9% · edge +1.9 pts
Close: drift −4.0 pts away from our side
Retail shelf: +132 at DraftKings

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Tyler Collet over Brooks KoepkaWyndham Championship · Daily Card · R3 · Round 3 matchup9:45 PM ET, Aug 7+270Caesars34.0%26.4%1.0u−0.8 pts+2.70uWon

Pick ID: NAB-5BC4C449
Sealed: 9:45 PM ET, Aug 7 · revision 1, the card that stood
Sealed numbers: ours 34.0% · market 26.4% · edge +7.6 pts
Close: drift −0.8 pts away from our side
Retail shelf: +270 at Caesars

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Patton Kizzire over Jordan SpiethWyndham Championship · Daily Card · R3 · Round 3 matchup9:45 PM ET, Aug 7+198DraftKings39.8%34.5%1.5u−2.5 pts−1.50uLost

Pick ID: NAB-446E7637
Sealed: 9:45 PM ET, Aug 7 · revision 1, the card that stood
Sealed numbers: ours 39.8% · market 34.5% · edge +5.3 pts
Close: drift −2.5 pts away from our side
Retail shelf: +198 at DraftKings

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Kevin Streelman in a 3-ballWyndham Championship · Daily Card · R2 · Round 2 3-ball v Kevin Yu, Brian Campbell8:45 PM ET, Aug 6+270FanDuel34.8%28.2%1.5u−1.0 pts+4.05uWon

Pick ID: NAB-FE8ABCB1
Sealed: 8:45 PM ET, Aug 6 · revision 2, the card that stood
Sealed numbers: ours 34.8% · market 28.2% · edge +6.6 pts
Close: drift −1.0 pts away from our side
Retail shelf: +270 at FanDuel

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Christo Lamprecht in a 3-ballWyndham Championship · Daily Card · R2 · Round 2 3-ball v Adrien Dumont De Chassart, Ben James8:45 PM ET, Aug 6+650BetMGM19.7%14.7%1.0u−3.2 pts−1.00uLost

Pick ID: NAB-F9B6F0A8
Sealed: 8:45 PM ET, Aug 6 · revision 2, the card that stood
Sealed numbers: ours 19.7% · market 14.7% · edge +4.9 pts
Close: drift −3.2 pts away from our side
Retail shelf: +650 at BetMGM

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Nicolai Hojgaard over J.J. SpaunRocket Classic · Daily Card · R4 · Round 4 matchup7:45 PM ET, Aug 1+117BetOnline60.1%44.3%1.5u+0.0 pts−1.50uLost

Pick ID: NAB-56ABD8FF
Sealed: 7:45 PM ET, Aug 1 · revision 1, the card that stood
Sealed numbers: ours 60.1% · market 44.3% · edge +15.7 pts
Close: drift +0.0 pts toward our side
Retail shelf: +117 at BetOnline

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Si Woo Kim over Akshay BhatiaRocket Classic · Daily Card · R2 · Round 2 matchup11:15 PM ET, Jul 30-116bet36555.6%55.7%1.0uwas 0.5u−4.5 pts+0.86uWon

Pick ID: NAB-0C09A0CB
Sealed: 11:15 PM ET, Jul 30 · revision 1, the card that stood
Sealed numbers: ours 55.6% · market 55.7% · edge −0.1 pts
Close: drift −4.5 pts away from our side
Retail shelf: sealed before the shelf existed; no claim
Correction: Stake restated 0.5u to 1.0u by Mac Walsh, 11:17 AM ET, Aug 4, after this play settled: Desk standing practice is one unit minimum; a full unit was placed on this play. The sealed 0.5 was the model ask under the pre-2026-07-31 ladder. · the sealed row above is untouched

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Chris Gotterup over Xander SchauffeleRocket Classic · Daily Card · R2 · Round 2 matchup11:15 PM ET, Jul 30+100bet36553.1%50.0%1.0uwas 0.5u−2.2 pts−1.00uLost

Pick ID: NAB-544F8770
Sealed: 11:15 PM ET, Jul 30 · revision 1, the card that stood
Sealed numbers: ours 53.1% · market 50.0% · edge +3.1 pts
Close: drift −2.2 pts away from our side
Retail shelf: sealed before the shelf existed; no claim
Correction: Stake restated 0.5u to 1.0u by Mac Walsh, 11:17 AM ET, Aug 4, after this play settled: Desk standing practice is one unit minimum; a full unit was placed on this play. The sealed 0.5 was the model ask under the pre-2026-07-31 ladder. · the sealed row above is untouched

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Jesper Svensson over Johnny KeeferRocket Classic · Daily Card · R2 · Round 2 matchup11:15 PM ET, Jul 30+126BetOnline48.2%42.3%1.0uwas 0.5u+1.6 pts+1.26uWon

Pick ID: NAB-9114A69D
Sealed: 11:15 PM ET, Jul 30 · revision 1, the card that stood
Sealed numbers: ours 48.2% · market 42.3% · edge +5.9 pts
Close: drift +1.6 pts toward our side
Retail shelf: sealed before the shelf existed; no claim
Correction: Stake restated 0.5u to 1.0u by Mac Walsh, 11:17 AM ET, Aug 4, after this play settled: Desk standing practice is one unit minimum; a full unit was placed on this play. The sealed 0.5 was the model ask under the pre-2026-07-31 ladder. · the sealed row above is untouched

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Davis Riley over Akshay BhatiaRocket Classic · Daily Card · R2 · Round 2 matchup11:15 PM ET, Jul 30+188FanDuel36.7%33.4%1.0uwas 0.5u−0.7 pts+1.88uWon

Pick ID: NAB-3916D49E
Sealed: 11:15 PM ET, Jul 30 · revision 1, the card that stood
Sealed numbers: ours 36.7% · market 33.4% · edge +3.3 pts
Close: drift −0.7 pts away from our side
Retail shelf: no major US book cleared; offshore only
Correction: Stake restated 0.5u to 1.0u by Mac Walsh, 11:17 AM ET, Aug 4, after this play settled: Desk standing practice is one unit minimum; a full unit was placed on this play. The sealed 0.5 was the model ask under the pre-2026-07-31 ladder. · the sealed row above is untouched

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Harry Hall over Sam StevensRocket Classic · Daily Card · R2 · Round 2 matchup11:15 PM ET, Jul 30+114Betcris53.1%44.2%1.0uwas 0.5u+0.9 pts+1.14uWon

Pick ID: NAB-320EDB85
Sealed: 11:15 PM ET, Jul 30 · revision 1, the card that stood
Sealed numbers: ours 53.1% · market 44.2% · edge +8.9 pts
Close: drift +0.9 pts toward our side
Retail shelf: sealed before the shelf existed; no claim
Correction: Stake restated 0.5u to 1.0u by Mac Walsh, 11:17 AM ET, Aug 4, after this play settled: Desk standing practice is one unit minimum; a full unit was placed on this play. The sealed 0.5 was the model ask under the pre-2026-07-31 ladder. · the sealed row above is untouched

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Zac Blair over Michael KimRocket Classic · Weekly Board · Round 1 matchup10:05 PM ET, Jul 29+108Unibet53.3%48.8%1.0uwas 0.5u−3.3 pts−1.00uLost

Pick ID: NAB-77EC1359
Sealed: 10:05 PM ET, Jul 29 · revision 5, the card that stood
Sealed numbers: ours 53.3% · market 48.8% · edge +4.5 pts
Close: drift −3.3 pts away from our side
Retail shelf: sealed before the shelf existed; no claim
Correction: Stake restated 0.5u to 1.0u by Mac Walsh, 11:17 AM ET, Aug 4, after this play settled: Desk standing practice is one unit minimum; a full unit was placed on this play. The sealed 0.5 was the model ask under the pre-2026-07-31 ladder. · the sealed row above is untouched

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Russell Henley over Ben GriffinRocket Classic · Weekly Board · Tournament matchup, 72 holes10:05 PM ET, Jul 29-105bet36554.2%50.6%1.0uwas 0.5u·+0.95uWon

Pick ID: NAB-B3550EE9
Sealed: 10:05 PM ET, Jul 29 · revision 5, the card that stood
Sealed numbers: ours 54.2% · market 50.6% · edge +3.6 pts
Close: pending; drift posts when the market closes
Retail shelf: sealed before the shelf existed; no claim
Correction: Stake restated 0.5u to 1.0u by Mac Walsh, 11:17 AM ET, Aug 4, after this play settled: Desk standing practice is one unit minimum; a full unit was placed on this play. The sealed 0.5 was the model ask under the pre-2026-07-31 ladder. · the sealed row above is untouched

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Jordan Spieth over Corey ConnersRocket Classic · Weekly Board · Round 1 matchup10:05 PM ET, Jul 29+105Pinnacle46.4%50.0%1.0uwas 0.5u−3.2 pts−1.00uLost

Pick ID: NAB-981C86A1
Sealed: 10:05 PM ET, Jul 29 · revision 5, the card that stood
Sealed numbers: ours 46.4% · market 50.0% · edge −3.6 pts
Close: drift −3.2 pts away from our side
Retail shelf: sealed before the shelf existed; no claim
Correction: Stake restated 0.5u to 1.0u by Mac Walsh, 11:17 AM ET, Aug 4, after this play settled: Desk standing practice is one unit minimum; a full unit was placed on this play. The sealed 0.5 was the model ask under the pre-2026-07-31 ladder. · the sealed row above is untouched

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Zac Blair over Lucas GloverRocket Classic · Weekly Board · Tournament matchup, 72 holes10:05 PM ET, Jul 29-109Betcris62.7%51.0%1.0uwas 0.5u−2.2 pts+0.92uWon

Pick ID: NAB-AEEEE047
Sealed: 10:05 PM ET, Jul 29 · revision 5, the card that stood
Sealed numbers: ours 62.7% · market 51.0% · edge +11.7 pts
Close: drift −2.2 pts away from our side
Retail shelf: sealed before the shelf existed; no claim
Correction: Stake restated 0.5u to 1.0u by Mac Walsh, 11:17 AM ET, Aug 4, after this play settled: Desk standing practice is one unit minimum; a full unit was placed on this play. The sealed 0.5 was the model ask under the pre-2026-07-31 ladder. · the sealed row above is untouched

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Billy Horschel over Max GreysermanRocket Classic · Weekly Board · Round 1 matchup10:05 PM ET, Jul 29+115BetOnline50.0%44.5%1.0uwas 0.5u+3.8 pts+0.07uDead heat

Pick ID: NAB-20FC9B3F
Sealed: 10:05 PM ET, Jul 29 · revision 5, the card that stood
Sealed numbers: ours 50.0% · market 44.5% · edge +5.5 pts
Close: drift +3.8 pts toward our side
Retail shelf: sealed before the shelf existed; no claim
Correction: Stake restated 0.5u to 1.0u by Mac Walsh, 11:17 AM ET, Aug 4, after this play settled: Desk standing practice is one unit minimum; a full unit was placed on this play. The sealed 0.5 was the model ask under the pre-2026-07-31 ladder. · the sealed row above is untouched

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What each state meanspush, dead heat, void, correction, No Play and pass, defined once

Standing: sealed before the gun; the market has not graded it yet.
Won / Lost: settled on the final scores, exactly as the market settles.
Dead heat: a tie under the market’s rules; the settlement splits accordingly.
Push: the market returned the stake; no units move.
Void: the market voided the play, a withdrawal being the usual reason; the stake returns.
No Play: published and graded for calibration, never staked; it carries no money and never joins the record.
Pass: a side we priced and declined to publish. A pass counts in our own accounting; the nearest misses appear on the watch list, never here as wagers.
Correction: a fact restated after the seal, as a new appended row naming its author, its time and its reason. The original stands forever.
Superseded: a pre-gun draft replaced by a later revision. It stays on the log next to its replacement.

Tournament and season results live in the track record; this is the receipt behind them, row by row, forever.